Welcome to week 13. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, ESPN, FFToday and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article was collected on 11/30/16. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jordan Howard, Theo Riddick, Wendell Smallwood, Jacquizz Rodgers and Mike Gillislee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Latavius Murray, Bilal Powell, Matt Asiata, Chris Thompson and Charcandrick West are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, David Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott, Jay Ajayi, Rob Kelley and Wendell Smallwood are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • Julian Edelman, Mike Wallace, Sammy Watkins, Marquess Wilson and Marqise Lee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Jarvis Landry, Marquess Wilson and Pierre Garcon are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, T.Y. Hilton, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, Jordan Matthews and Jeremy Maclin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, Derek Carr, Andrew Luck and Brock Osweiler are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Colin Kaepernick, Jameis Winston, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz and Ryan Tannehill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, Trevor Siemian and Sam Bradford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Martellus Bennett, Vance McDonald and Vernon Davis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Antonio Gates, Dennis Pitta, Jared Cook, Julius Thomas and Jack Doyle are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Greg Olsen, Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis and Ladarius Green are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • David Johnson, Jordan Howard, Theo Riddick, Wendell Smallwood and Mike Gillislee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Todd Gurley, Terrance West, Chris Thompson, Fozzy Whittaker and Kyle Juszczyk are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, David Johnson, Rob Kelley, Wendell Smallwood, T.J. Yeldon and Denard Robinson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jamison Crowder, Sammy Watkins, Anquan Boldin, Marquess Wilson and Marqise Lee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Randall Cobb, Michael Floyd and Tavon Austin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, T.Y. Hilton, Tyreek Hill, Tyrell Williams, Jordan Matthews and Jeremy Maclin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, Derek Carr, Andrew Luck and Brock Osweiler are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Colin Kaepernick, Jameis Winston, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz and Ryan Tannehill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, Trevor Siemian and Sam Bradford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Martellus Bennett, Vance McDonald and Vernon Davis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Jack Doyle, Dwayne Allen, Ryan Griffin, Garrett Celek and Dion Sims are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Greg Olsen, Zach Ertz, Jordan Reed, Rob Gronkowski and Vernon Davis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • David Johnson, Jordan Howard, Theo Riddick, Wendell Smallwood and Mike Gillislee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Todd Gurley, Terrance West, Chris Thompson, Fozzy Whittaker and Kyle Juszczyk are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, David Johnson, Rob Kelley, Wendell Smallwood, T.J. Yeldon and Denard Robinson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jamison Crowder, Sammy Watkins, Anquan Boldin, Marquess Wilson and Marqise Lee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Randall Cobb, Michael Floyd and Tavon Austin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, T.Y. Hilton, Tyreek Hill, Tyrell Williams, Jordan Matthews and Jeremy Maclin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, Derek Carr, Andrew Luck and Brock Osweiler are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Colin Kaepernick, Jameis Winston, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz and Ryan Tannehill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, Trevor Siemian and Sam Bradford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Martellus Bennett, Vance McDonald and Vernon Davis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Jack Doyle, Dwayne Allen, Ryan Griffin, Garrett Celek and Dion Sims are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Greg Olsen, Zach Ertz, Jordan Reed, Rob Gronkowski and Vernon Davis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Defense/Special Teams and Kickers

DST

Standard Scoring DST

From the graph below notice that:

  • Dolphins, Cardinals, Jets, Steelers and Packers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Chargers, Redskins, Bears, 49ers and Vikings are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Broncos, Cardinals, Steelers, Giants and Falcons are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

  • Wil Lutz, Steven Hauschka, Cairo Santos, Sebastian Janikowski and Nick Folk are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Stephen Gostkowski, Cairo Santos, Roberto Aguayo, Phil Dawson and Andrew Franks are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Justin Tucker, Wil Lutz, Brandon McManus, Adam Vinatieri and Steven Hauschka are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.