Welcome to week 6!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FantasyFootballNerd and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 10/14/20. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Derrick Henry, Myles Gaskin, Alexander Mattison, Damien Harris and Frank Gore are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Todd Gurley, Raheem Mostert, David Johnson, LeVeon Bell and Chris Thompson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison, Leonard Fournette, Lamical Perine and Ke’Shawn Vaughn are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • DeAndre Hopkins, Jamison Crowder, Julio Jones, Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Odell Beckham, CeeDee Lamb, Christian Kirk, Golden Tate and Preston Williams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Julio Jones, Tee Higgins, Mecole Hardman, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jarrett Stidham and C.J. Beathard are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jeff Driskel and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Travis Kelce, Jonnu Smith, Robert Tonyan, Zach Ertz and Mo Alie-Cox are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Mike Gesicki, Hayden Hurst, Kyle Rudolph, Gerald Everett and Ian Thomas are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Austin Hooper, Rob Gronkowski, Logan Thomas, Tyler Eifert and Mo Alie-Cox are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Derrick Henry, Alexander Mattison, Damien Harris, Malcolm Brown and Ke’Shawn Vaughn are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • David Montgomery, Raheem Mostert, David Johnson, LeVeon Bell and Phillip Lindsay are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison, Leonard Fournette, Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Lamical Perine are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • DeAndre Hopkins, Jamison Crowder, Julio Jones, Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Odell Beckham, Justin Jefferson, T.Y. Hilton, Golden Tate and Travis Fulgham are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jamison Crowder, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Julio Jones, Mecole Hardman and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jarrett Stidham and C.J. Beathard are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jeff Driskel and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, Tyler Eifert, Mo Alie-Cox and Marcedes Lewis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Mike Gesicki, Trey Burton, Kyle Rudolph, Gerald Everett and Ryan Griffin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Austin Hooper, Logan Thomas, Jordan Akins, Mo Alie-Cox and Marcedes Lewis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Derrick Henry, Alexander Mattison, Damien Harris, Malcolm Brown and Ke’Shawn Vaughn are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • David Montgomery, Raheem Mostert, David Johnson, LeVeon Bell and Phillip Lindsay are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison, Leonard Fournette, Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Lamical Perine are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

  • DeAndre Hopkins, Jamison Crowder, Julio Jones, Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Odell Beckham, Justin Jefferson, T.Y. Hilton, Golden Tate and Travis Fulgham are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jamison Crowder, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Julio Jones, Mecole Hardman and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

  • Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jarrett Stidham and C.J. Beathard are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Allen, Jeff Driskel and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

  • Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, Tyler Eifert, Mo Alie-Cox and Marcedes Lewis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Mike Gesicki, Trey Burton, Kyle Rudolph, Gerald Everett and Ryan Griffin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Austin Hooper, Logan Thomas, Jordan Akins, Mo Alie-Cox and Marcedes Lewis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

  • Younghoe Koo, Zane Gonzalez, Stephen Gostkowski, Kaimi Fairbairn and Greg Zuerlein are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Justin Tucker, Sam Sloman, Sam Ficken, Dustin Hopkins and Steven Hauschka are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Zane Gonzalez, Stephen Gostkowski, Dan Bailey, Kaimi Fairbairn and Brandon McManus are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.