Welcome to week 8!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: NumberFire, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FFToday, FantasyFootballNerd and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 10/29/20. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Boston Scott, Leonard Fournette, Damien Harris, Giovani Bernard and Lamical Perine are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kareem Hunt, Ronald Jones, David Montgomery, AJ Dillon and Corey Clement are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Boston Scott, Joshua Kelley, Damien Harris, Devonta Freeman and Chris Carson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Henry Ruggs, Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, Cole Beasley and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- A.J. Brown, D.J. Moore, Tyler Boyd, Cooper Kupp and Scott Miller are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Fulgham, Henry Ruggs, Diontae Johnson, Curtis Samuel and Tim Patrick are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton, Brett Rypien and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ben Roethlisberger and Tua Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Baker Mayfield, Brett Rypien, Jarrett Stidham and Jeff Driskel are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Hunter Henry, Trey Burton, Jared Cook and Robert Tonyan are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jonnu Smith, Evan Engram, Greg Olsen, Drew Sample and Anthony Firkser are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, Noah Fant and Gerald Everett are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Boston Scott, Giovani Bernard, Leonard Fournette, Damien Harris and Lamical Perine are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kareem Hunt, Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon and Jalen Richard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Boston Scott, Joshua Kelley, Damien Harris, Devonta Freeman and Chris Carson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Kenny Golladay, Jarvis Landry, Henry Ruggs, Cole Beasley and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Boyd, Scott Miller, Zach Pascal, Greg Ward and Adam Humphries are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Henry Ruggs, Diontae Johnson, Curtis Samuel, Tim Patrick and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton, Brett Rypien and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ben Roethlisberger and Tua Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Baker Mayfield, Brett Rypien, Jarrett Stidham and Jeff Driskel are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Jonnu Smith, Trey Burton, Jared Cook and Robert Tonyan are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Greg Olsen, Kaden Smith, Taysom Hill, Mo Alie-Cox and Foster Moreau are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Noah Fant and Dalton Schultz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Boston Scott, Giovani Bernard, Leonard Fournette, Damien Harris and Lamical Perine are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kareem Hunt, Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon and Jalen Richard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Boston Scott, Joshua Kelley, Damien Harris, Devonta Freeman and Chris Carson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Kenny Golladay, Jarvis Landry, Henry Ruggs, Cole Beasley and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Boyd, Scott Miller, Zach Pascal, Greg Ward and Adam Humphries are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Henry Ruggs, Diontae Johnson, Curtis Samuel, Tim Patrick and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton, Brett Rypien and Jarrett Stidham are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ben Roethlisberger and Tua Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Baker Mayfield, Brett Rypien, Jarrett Stidham and Jeff Driskel are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Jonnu Smith, Trey Burton, Jared Cook and Robert Tonyan are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Greg Olsen, Kaden Smith, Taysom Hill, Mo Alie-Cox and Foster Moreau are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Noah Fant and Dalton Schultz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Wil Lutz, Stephen Gostkowski, Mike Badgley, Graham Gano and Cairo Santos are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Harrison Butker, Justin Tucker, Ryan Succop, Mike Badgley and Tyler Bass are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon McManus, Younghoe Koo, Mason Crosby, Kai Forbath and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
