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Welcome to week 12!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: NumberFire, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FFToday, FantasyFootballNerd and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 11/27/20. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

Nick Chubb, Zack Moss, Damien Harris, Melvin Gordon and Carlos Hyde are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
James Robinson, J.D. McKissic, Justice Hill, Ty Johnson and Alfred Morris are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Todd Gurley, Zack Moss, Duke Johnson, Giovani Bernard and Nyheim Hines are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Diontae Johnson, Jerry Jeudy, Michael Pittman, Julio Jones and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Deebo Samuel, Tyler Boyd, Jakobi Meyers, Sammy Watkins and Jalen Reagor are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Keenan Allen, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Denzel Mims and Marvin Hall are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert, Robert Griffin, Joe Flacco and Ryan Fitzpatrick are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Cam Newton, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins and Brandon Allen are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Taysom Hill, Carson Wentz, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin and Tyler Bray are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews, Hunter Henry and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Jonnu Smith, Jordan Reed, Jared Cook, Tyler Eifert and Gerald Everett are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Rob Gronkowski and Irv Smith Jr. are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Nick Chubb, Zack Moss, Melvin Gordon, Carlos Hyde and Boston Scott are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
James Robinson, Antonio Gibson, LeVeon Bell, Justice Hill and C.J. Prosise are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, James Conner, Todd Gurley, Zack Moss, Chris Carson and Giovani Bernard are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Diontae Johnson, Michael Pittman, Jerry Jeudy, Julio Jones and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
D.J. Chark, Christian Kirk, Jerry Jeudy, Deebo Samuel and Josh Reynolds are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Davante Adams, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Denzel Mims and John Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert, Robert Griffin, Joe Flacco and Ryan Fitzpatrick are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Cam Newton, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins and Brandon Allen are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Taysom Hill, Carson Wentz, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin and Tyler Bray are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews, Hunter Henry and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Drew Sample, Ross Dwelley, Dawson Knox, Durham Smythe and Jason Witten are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Rob Gronkowski, Kyle Rudolph and David Njoku are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Nick Chubb, Zack Moss, Melvin Gordon, Carlos Hyde and Boston Scott are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
James Robinson, Antonio Gibson, LeVeon Bell, Justice Hill and C.J. Prosise are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, James Conner, Todd Gurley, Zack Moss, Chris Carson and Giovani Bernard are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Diontae Johnson, Michael Pittman, Jerry Jeudy, Julio Jones and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
D.J. Chark, Christian Kirk, Jerry Jeudy, Deebo Samuel and Josh Reynolds are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Davante Adams, Mike Evans, Julio Jones, Denzel Mims and John Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert, Robert Griffin, Joe Flacco and Ryan Fitzpatrick are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Cam Newton, Ryan Tannehill, Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins and Brandon Allen are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Taysom Hill, Carson Wentz, Nick Foles, Robert Griffin and Tyler Bray are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews, Hunter Henry and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Drew Sample, Ross Dwelley, Dawson Knox, Durham Smythe and Jason Witten are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Rob Gronkowski, Kyle Rudolph and David Njoku are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Chris Boswell, Wil Lutz, Mason Crosby, Stephen Gostkowski and Jake Elliott are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Bass, Justin Tucker, Zane Gonzalez, Nick Folk and Robbie Gould are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Jason Sanders, Chris Boswell, Kaimi Fairbairn, Wil Lutz and Brandon McManus are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.