Welcome to week 13!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: NumberFire, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FFToday, FantasyFootballNerd and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 12/05/20. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Devontae Booker, Melvin Gordon, Nyheim Hines, Latavius Murray and D’Andre Swift are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Austin Ekeler, Nyheim Hines, Zack Moss, James White and Ito Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Devontae Booker, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Melvin Gordon, Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Diontae Johnson, Jarvis Landry, Michael Pittman, Denzel Mims and Tim Patrick are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, Marvin Jones, Tyler Boyd and Gabriel Davis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Nelson Agholor, Julio Jones, Michael Pittman, Denzel Mims and Marquise Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, Nick Mullens, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Baker Mayfield, Andy Dalton and Colt McCoy are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Hunter Henry, Dallas Goedert and Robert Tonyan are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Evan Engram, Jordan Akins, Logan Thomas, Jared Cook and Tyler Eifert are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Kyle Rudolph and Anthony Firkser are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Devontae Booker, Nyheim Hines, Latavius Murray, D’Andre Swift and Kerryon Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kenyan Drake, James White, Todd Gurley, LeVeon Bell and Ito Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Devontae Booker, Jamaal Williams, D’Andre Swift, Benny Snell and Kalen Ballage are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Brandin Cooks, Deebo Samuel, Diontae Johnson, Michael Pittman and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Boyd, Corey Davis, Christian Kirk, Jalen Reagor and Gabriel Davis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Julio Jones, Michael Pittman, Denzel Mims, Marquise Brown and Brandon Aiyuk are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, Nick Mullens, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Baker Mayfield, Andy Dalton and Colt McCoy are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- T.J. Hockenson, Hunter Henry, Robert Tonyan, Zach Ertz and Richard Rodgers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Drew Sample, Kaden Smith, Harrison Bryant, Foster Moreau and Tyler Conklin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, T.J. Hockenson, Anthony Firkser, Gerald Everett, Richard Rodgers and Geoff Swaim are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Devontae Booker, Nyheim Hines, Latavius Murray, D’Andre Swift and Kerryon Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kenyan Drake, James White, Todd Gurley, LeVeon Bell and Ito Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Devontae Booker, Jamaal Williams, D’Andre Swift, Benny Snell and Kalen Ballage are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Brandin Cooks, Deebo Samuel, Diontae Johnson, Michael Pittman and Denzel Mims are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Boyd, Corey Davis, Christian Kirk, Jalen Reagor and Gabriel Davis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Julio Jones, Michael Pittman, Denzel Mims, Marquise Brown and Brandon Aiyuk are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, Nick Mullens, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Baker Mayfield, Andy Dalton and Colt McCoy are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cam Newton, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts and Nick Foles are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- T.J. Hockenson, Hunter Henry, Robert Tonyan, Zach Ertz and Richard Rodgers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Drew Sample, Kaden Smith, Harrison Bryant, Foster Moreau and Tyler Conklin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, T.J. Hockenson, Anthony Firkser, Gerald Everett, Richard Rodgers and Geoff Swaim are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Jason Myers, Dan Bailey, Stephen Gostkowski, Dustin Hopkins and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Bass, Chris Boswell, Younghoe Koo, Zane Gonzalez and Dustin Hopkins are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Harrison Butker, Jason Sanders, Dan Bailey, Justin Tucker and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
