Welcome to week 6!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FleaFlicker, NFL, FFToday and NumberFire. The data for this article was collected on 10/17/21. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Derrick Henry, Darrel Williams, Zack Moss, Alexander Mattison and Ty’Son Williams are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Austin Ekeler, James Robinson, Nyheim Hines, Marlon Mack and Carlos Hyde are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Derrick Henry, Kareem Hunt, Khalil Herbert, Jerick McKinnon and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- D.J. Moore, Chris Godwin, Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault and Rondale Moore are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Nelson Agholor, Mecole Hardman and A.J. Green are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf, Marquise Brown, Diontae Johnson and DeVonta Smith are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Davis Mills and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Taylor Heinicke, Kirk Cousins, Teddy Bridgewater and Geno Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Derek Carr, Justin Fields and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Darren Waller, Dawson Knox, T.J. Hockenson, Zach Ertz and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Mike Gesicki, Tyler Higbee, Robert Tonyan, Evan Engram and Tyler Conklin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Dawson Knox, Ricky Seals-Jones and Donald Parham are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Darrel Williams, Khalil Herbert, Alexander Mattison, Ty’Son Williams and D’Ernest Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Myles Gaskin, Darrell Henderson, Kenneth Gainwell, Nyheim Hines and AJ Dillon are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Kareem Hunt, Derrick Henry, Khalil Herbert, Jerick McKinnon and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Chris Godwin, DeVonta Smith, Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault and Rondale Moore are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Davante Adams, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham and A.J. Green are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Diontae Johnson, Terry McLaurin, Marquise Brown, DK Metcalf and Rondale Moore are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Davis Mills and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Taylor Heinicke, Kirk Cousins, Teddy Bridgewater and Geno Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Derek Carr, Justin Fields and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Zach Ertz, Hunter Henry and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Mike Gesicki, Dan Arnold, Robert Tonyan, Durham Smythe and MyCole Pruitt are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Ricky Seals-Jones, Austin Hooper and Devin Asiasi are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Darrel Williams, Khalil Herbert, Alexander Mattison, Ty’Son Williams and D’Ernest Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Myles Gaskin, Darrell Henderson, Kenneth Gainwell, Nyheim Hines and AJ Dillon are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Kareem Hunt, Derrick Henry, Khalil Herbert, Jerick McKinnon and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Chris Godwin, DeVonta Smith, Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault and Rondale Moore are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Davante Adams, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham and A.J. Green are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Diontae Johnson, Terry McLaurin, Marquise Brown, DK Metcalf and Rondale Moore are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold, Davis Mills and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Taylor Heinicke, Kirk Cousins, Teddy Bridgewater and Geno Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Derek Carr, Justin Fields and Mike Glennon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Zach Ertz, Hunter Henry and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Mike Gesicki, Dan Arnold, Robert Tonyan, Durham Smythe and MyCole Pruitt are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Ricky Seals-Jones, Austin Hooper and Devin Asiasi are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Mason Crosby, Harrison Butker, Greg Joseph, Jason Myers and Jake Elliott are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Ryan Succop, Matt Gay, Nick Folk, Greg Zuerlein and Mike Badgley are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Tucker, Brandon McManus, Tyler Bass, Randy Bullock and Jake Elliott are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
