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Welcome to week 10!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, NFL, NumberFire and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 11/09/21. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Chuba Hubbard, Boston Scott and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Darrell Henderson, D’Andre Swift, J.D. McKissic, Jamaal Williams and LeVeon Bell are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Darrel Williams, Boston Scott and Eno Benjamin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

DeAndre Hopkins, Corey Davis, Curtis Samuel, Bryan Edwards and Donovan Peoples-Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Marquise Brown, D.J. Moore, DeVonta Smith, Julio Jones and Nelson Agholor are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Cordarrelle Patterson, DeAndre Hopkins, T.Y. Hilton, Corey Davis and Donovan Peoples-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Taylor Heinicke, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, Mike White and Taysom Hill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr, Matt Ryan and Teddy Bridgewater are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith and Mike White are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Travis Kelce, T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth, Donald Parham and Albert Okwuegbunam are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Mike Gesicki, Tyler Conklin, Austin Hooper, Jack Doyle and Gerald Everett are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Kyle Pitts, T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Pat Freiermuth and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Chuba Hubbard, Boston Scott and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Austin Ekeler, Darrell Henderson, Tony Pollard, Nyheim Hines and Jamaal Williams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Darrel Williams, Boston Scott and Eno Benjamin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

DeAndre Hopkins, T.Y. Hilton, Corey Davis, Curtis Samuel and Bryan Edwards are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Antonio Brown, D.J. Moore, DeVonta Smith, Russell Gage and Julio Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tyreek Hill, DeAndre Hopkins, Rashod Bateman, T.Y. Hilton and Corey Davis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Taylor Heinicke, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, Mike White and Taysom Hill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr, Matt Ryan and Teddy Bridgewater are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith and Mike White are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Travis Kelce, Albert Okwuegbunam, Donald Parham, Marcedes Lewis and Juwan Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Conklin, Jack Doyle, Geoff Swaim, Josiah Deguara and Adam Shaheen are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Kyle Pitts, T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Pat Freiermuth and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Chuba Hubbard, Boston Scott and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Austin Ekeler, Darrell Henderson, Tony Pollard, Nyheim Hines and Jamaal Williams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, James Robinson, Darrel Williams, Boston Scott and Eno Benjamin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

DeAndre Hopkins, T.Y. Hilton, Corey Davis, Curtis Samuel and Bryan Edwards are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Antonio Brown, D.J. Moore, DeVonta Smith, Russell Gage and Julio Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tyreek Hill, DeAndre Hopkins, Rashod Bateman, T.Y. Hilton and Corey Davis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Taylor Heinicke, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, Mike White and Taysom Hill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Derek Carr, Matt Ryan and Teddy Bridgewater are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Jordan Love, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith and Mike White are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Travis Kelce, Albert Okwuegbunam, Donald Parham, Marcedes Lewis and Juwan Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Conklin, Jack Doyle, Geoff Swaim, Josiah Deguara and Adam Shaheen are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Kyle Pitts, T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Pat Freiermuth and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Harrison Butker, Matt Prater, Randy Bullock, Mason Crosby and Jake Elliott are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Chris Boswell, Mason Crosby, Robbie Gould, Chris Blewitt and Matthew Wright are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Justin Tucker, Harrison Butker, Dustin Hopkins, Zane Gonzalez and Jake Elliott are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.