Welcome to week 15!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, FantasySharks, NFL, NumberFire, FantasyPros and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 12/14/21. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- James Conner, Sony Michel, Rashaad Penny, Duke Johnson and Ty Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Najee Harris, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson, Dontrell Hilliard and Nyheim Hines are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Elijah Mitchell, Rashaad Penny, Rex Burkhead and Duke Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins and Adam Thielen are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Cordarrelle Patterson, Brandin Cooks, Marvin Jones, Tyler Boyd and Allen Lazard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cooper Kupp, Terry McLaurin, DeVante Parker, Adam Thielen and Donovan Peoples-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton, Mike Glennon and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Zach Ertz, Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Conklin, C.J. Uzomah, Evan Engram, Gerald Everett and Nick Vannett are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth, Hunter Henry and Ricky Seals-Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- James Conner, Sony Michel, Chuba Hubbard, Rashaad Penny and Duke Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Najee Harris, James Robinson, Rhamondre Stevenson, David Johnson and Nyheim Hines are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Elijah Mitchell, Tony Pollard, Duke Johnson and Ty Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, DeVante Parker and Adam Thielen are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- CeeDee Lamb, DK Metcalf, Michael Pittman, Christian Kirk and Tyler Boyd are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cooper Kupp, Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, DeVante Parker and Adam Thielen are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton, Mike Glennon and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Zach Ertz, Ricky Seals-Jones, Hunter Henry and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Conklin, Evan Engram, C.J. Uzomah, Will Dissly and Juwan Johnson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth, Ricky Seals-Jones and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- James Conner, Sony Michel, Chuba Hubbard, Rashaad Penny and Duke Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Najee Harris, James Robinson, Rhamondre Stevenson, David Johnson and Nyheim Hines are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Elijah Mitchell, Tony Pollard, Duke Johnson and Ty Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, DeVante Parker and Adam Thielen are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- CeeDee Lamb, DK Metcalf, Michael Pittman, Christian Kirk and Tyler Boyd are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cooper Kupp, Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, DeVante Parker and Adam Thielen are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Taysom Hill, Cam Newton, Mike Glennon and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Rob Gronkowski, Zach Ertz, Ricky Seals-Jones, Hunter Henry and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Conklin, Evan Engram, C.J. Uzomah, Will Dissly and Juwan Johnson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth, Ricky Seals-Jones and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Matt Prater, Greg Zuerlein, Justin Tucker, Daniel Carlson and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Bass, Chris Boswell, Cairo Santos, Mason Crosby and Zane Gonzalez are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Matt Prater, Ryan Succop, Greg Zuerlein, Dustin Hopkins and Younghoe Koo are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
