Welcome to week 3!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average,
FantasyPros, FantasySharks, FleaFlicker, NFL, FFToday and NumberFire.
The data for this article was collected on 09/22/22. For more details on
WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Alvin Kamara, Kareem Hunt, Nyheim Hines, Darrel Williams and Eno
Benjamin are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
- Josh Jacobs, Mark Ingram, J.D. McKissic, Khalil Herbert and Zack
Moss are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests
that while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, James Conner, Darrel
Williams and Eno Benjamin are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.