Welcome to week 4!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average,
FantasyPros, FantasySharks, NFL, FFToday, NumberFire and FleaFlicker.
The data for this article was collected on 10/01/22. For more details on
WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Cam Akers, Justice Hill, Dontrell Hilliard
and Darrel Williams are the five players with the largest upside
(as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
- Alvin Kamara, Travis Etienne, J.D. McKissic, Nyheim Hines and
Dontrell Hilliard are the players with the smallest downside,
which suggests that while their median projection might not be great,
there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if
you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk,
these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jonathan Taylor, Christian McCaffrey, Derrick
Henry, Miles Sanders and Darrell Henderson are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.