Welcome to week 5!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average,
FantasyPros, FantasySharks, NFL, NumberFire and FleaFlicker. The data
for this article was collected on 10/05/22. For more details on WR gold
mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Nick Chubb, Jonathan Taylor, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery and
Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
- Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, Najee Harris, Phillip Lindsay and Zack
Moss are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests
that while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jamaal Williams, Khalil Herbert, David
Montgomery, Chase Edmonds and Caleb Huntley are the five players with
the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting
them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such
low expectations for these players.