Main_RoundUp.knit

Welcome to week 5!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, NFL, NumberFire and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 10/05/22. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

Nick Chubb, Jonathan Taylor, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, Najee Harris, Phillip Lindsay and Zack Moss are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Jamaal Williams, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery, Chase Edmonds and Caleb Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Ja’Marr Chase, A.J. Brown, Gabriel Davis, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Davante Adams, Tee Higgins, Jerry Jeudy, Brandon Aiyuk and D.J. Moore are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Michael Thomas, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jakobi Meyers and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, Brian Hoyer, Mac Jones and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Aaron Rodgers and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton, Cooper Rush, Brian Hoyer and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert, Taysom Hill, Mike Gesicki and Cameron Brate are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Zach Ertz, Robert Tonyan, Mo Alie-Cox and Austin Hooper are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, David Njoku, Taysom Hill, Hunter Henry, Brevin Jordan and Juwan Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Jonathan Taylor, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery, Darrel Williams and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Saquon Barkley, Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, Phillip Lindsay and Zack Moss are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Jamaal Williams, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery, Chase Edmonds and Caleb Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jarvis Landry, Tyler Boyd, Hunter Renfrow and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper, Robert Woods, Jerry Jeudy and Brandon Aiyuk are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Michael Thomas, Jakobi Meyers, Hunter Renfrow and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, Brian Hoyer, Mac Jones and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Aaron Rodgers and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton, Cooper Rush, Brian Hoyer and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Cameron Brate, Mike Gesicki, Taysom Hill, Albert Okwuegbunam and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Zach Ertz, Logan Thomas, Noah Fant and Jonnu Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Cameron Brate, Taysom Hill, C.J. Uzomah, Geoff Swaim and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Jonathan Taylor, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery, Darrel Williams and Latavius Murray are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Saquon Barkley, Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon, Phillip Lindsay and Zack Moss are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Jamaal Williams, Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery, Chase Edmonds and Caleb Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jarvis Landry, Tyler Boyd, Hunter Renfrow and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper, Robert Woods, Jerry Jeudy and Brandon Aiyuk are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Michael Thomas, Jakobi Meyers, Hunter Renfrow and Isaiah McKenzie are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, Brian Hoyer, Mac Jones and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Aaron Rodgers and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton, Cooper Rush, Brian Hoyer and Mitchell Trubisky are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Cameron Brate, Mike Gesicki, Taysom Hill, Albert Okwuegbunam and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Zach Ertz, Logan Thomas, Noah Fant and Jonnu Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Cameron Brate, Taysom Hill, C.J. Uzomah, Geoff Swaim and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

DST

Standard Scoring DST

From the graph below notice that:

Titans, Chiefs, Cowboys, Panthers and Patriots are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Vikings, Bills, Packers, Ravens and Bears are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Dolphins, Jaguars, Broncos, Titans and Saints are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Harrison Butker, Nick Folk, Daniel Carlson, Jake Elliott and Matt Prater are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Ryan Succop, Matt Gay, Randy Bullock, Mason Crosby and Graham Gano are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Matthew Wright, Jake Elliott, Dustin Hopkins, Chris Boswell and Kaimi Fairbairn are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.