Main_RoundUp.knit

Welcome to week 9!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, FantasyPros, FantasySharks, NFL, FFToday, NumberFire and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 11/04/22. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Khalil Herbert and Gus Edwards are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kenyan Drake, Khalil Herbert, Jeffery Wilson, Rex Burkhead and Kenneth Gainwell are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Deon Jackson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Amon-Ra St. Brown, DK Metcalf, Christian Kirk, Jarvis Landry and Keenan Allen are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Boyd, Christian Kirk, Josh Palmer, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and Julio Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Allen Lazard, Darnell Mooney, Chase Claypool, Corey Davis and Keenan Allen are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Patrick Mahomes, Marcus Mariota, Justin Fields, Mac Jones and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers, Trevor Lawrence, Phillip Walker and Taysom Hill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Gerald Everett, Robert Tonyan and Taysom Hill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Higbee, Hunter Henry, Noah Fant, Will Dissly and Cole Kmet are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, Taysom Hill and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Khalil Herbert and Gus Edwards are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Damien Harris, Kenyan Drake, Jeffery Wilson, Cam Akers and Travis Homer are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Deon Jackson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

DK Metcalf, Christian Kirk, Jarvis Landry, Keenan Allen and Chase Claypool are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
D.J. Moore, Chris Godwin, Jakobi Meyers, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Olamide Zaccheaus are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Allen Lazard, Darnell Mooney, Keenan Allen, Corey Davis and Chase Claypool are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Patrick Mahomes, Marcus Mariota, Justin Fields, Mac Jones and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers, Trevor Lawrence, Phillip Walker and Taysom Hill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Robert Tonyan, Taysom Hill and Adam Trautman are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Hunter Henry, Noah Fant, Austin Hooper, Kylen Granson and Cameron Brate are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, Taysom Hill and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Khalil Herbert and Gus Edwards are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Damien Harris, Kenyan Drake, Jeffery Wilson, Cam Akers and Travis Homer are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, DOnta Foreman, Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Deon Jackson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

DK Metcalf, Christian Kirk, Jarvis Landry, Keenan Allen and Chase Claypool are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
D.J. Moore, Chris Godwin, Jakobi Meyers, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Olamide Zaccheaus are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Allen Lazard, Darnell Mooney, Keenan Allen, Corey Davis and Chase Claypool are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Patrick Mahomes, Marcus Mariota, Justin Fields, Mac Jones and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers, Trevor Lawrence, Phillip Walker and Taysom Hill are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton and Ryan Tannehill are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Robert Tonyan, Taysom Hill and Adam Trautman are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Hunter Henry, Noah Fant, Austin Hooper, Kylen Granson and Cameron Brate are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Mark Andrews, Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, Taysom Hill and Foster Moreau are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

DST

Standard Scoring DST

From the graph below notice that:

Eagles, Patriots, Dolphins, Vikings and Colts are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Ravens, Seahawks, Cardinals, Packers and Rams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Eagles, Bengals, Patriots, Buccaneers and Chargers are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Harrison Butker, Tyler Bass, Mason Crosby, Matt Gay and Greg Zuerlein are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Justin Tucker, Younghoe Koo, Tyler Bass, Eddy Pineiro and Wil Lutz are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Ryan Succop, Matt Prater, Jake Elliott, Mason Crosby and Greg Zuerlein are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.