Welcome to week 7!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, CBS, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 10/17/24. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Joe Burrow, Bo Nix, Drake Maye, Aidan O’Connell and Spencer Rattler are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Sam Darnold, Anthony Richardson and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Jonathan Taylor, Trey Sermon, Ray Davis, Travis Etienne and Isaac Guerendo are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker III, Jaylen Warren, Justice Hill and Kimani Vidal are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, James Cook, Jordan Mason, Tank Bigsby, Jonathan Taylor and Trey Sermon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Drake London, Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson, Darnell Mooney and Marvin Harrison Jr. are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Calvin Ridley, Demario Douglas, JuJu Smith-Schuster, DeAndre Hopkins and Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, Malik Nabers, Marvin Harrison Jr., Jordan Whittington and Bub Means are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Sam LaPorta, Zach Ertz, Isaiah Likely and Pat Freiermuth are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- David Njoku, Cade Otton, T.J. Hockenson, Tyler Conklin and Jonnu Smith are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Sam LaPorta, Dallas Goedert and Isaiah Likely are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Joe Burrow, Bo Nix, Drake Maye, Aidan O’Connell and Spencer Rattler are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Sam Darnold, Anthony Richardson and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Jonathan Taylor, Trey Sermon, Ray Davis, Travis Etienne and Jerome Ford are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Justice Hill and Kimani Vidal are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brian Robinson, James Cook, Jordan Mason, Jonathan Taylor and Trey Sermon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Drake London, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Terry McLaurin, Michael Pittman, DeAndre Hopkins, Quentin Johnston and Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Malik Nabers, Cooper Kupp, Marvin Harrison Jr., Bub Means and Jordan Whittington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Foster Moreau, Johnny Mundt, Grant Calcaterra and Tommy Tremble are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Conklin, Jonnu Smith, Tyler Higbee, Noah Gray and Michael Mayer are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Sam LaPorta, Dallas Goedert, Mark Andrews and Ja’Tavion Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Josh Allen, Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Joe Burrow, Bo Nix, Drake Maye, Aidan O’Connell and Spencer Rattler are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Sam Darnold, Anthony Richardson and Tyler Huntley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Jonathan Taylor, Trey Sermon, Ray Davis, Travis Etienne and Jerome Ford are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Justice Hill and Kimani Vidal are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brian Robinson, James Cook, Jordan Mason, Jonathan Taylor and Trey Sermon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Drake London, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Terry McLaurin, Michael Pittman, DeAndre Hopkins, Quentin Johnston and Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Malik Nabers, Cooper Kupp, Marvin Harrison Jr., Bub Means and Jordan Whittington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Foster Moreau, Johnny Mundt, Grant Calcaterra and Tommy Tremble are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Conklin, Jonnu Smith, Tyler Higbee, Noah Gray and Michael Mayer are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Sam LaPorta, Dallas Goedert, Mark Andrews and Ja’Tavion Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Younghoe Koo, Chris Boswell, Chad Ryland, Blake Grupe and Matthew Wright are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Tucker, Chase McLaughlin, Will Reichard, Eddy Pineiro and Nick Folk are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Austin Seibert, Brandon McManus, Joshua Karty, Matt Gay and Matthew Wright are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
