make_rmd.knit

Welcome to week 8!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, CBS, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 10/24/24. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Josh Allen, Bo Nix, Jayden Daniels, Mason Rudolph and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones and Will Levis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Spencer Rattler, Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

Bijan Robinson, J.K. Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris and Tank Bigsby are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kenneth Walker III, Tyler Allgeier, Jaylen Warren, Zach Charbonnet and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Breece Hall, Jonathan Taylor, Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Tyler Goodson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Drake London, Davante Adams, Garrett Wilson, Marvin Harrison Jr. and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
George Pickens, Darnell Mooney, Jauan Jennings, Wan’Dale Robinson and Demario Douglas are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, A.J. Brown, Deebo Samuel, Chris Olave and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

George Kittle, Sam LaPorta, Cole Kmet, T.J. Hockenson and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kyle Pitts, Jonnu Smith, Noah Fant, Tyler Conklin and Chigoziem Okonkwo are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, Trey McBride and Sam LaPorta are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Josh Allen, Bo Nix, Jayden Daniels, Mason Rudolph and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones and Will Levis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Spencer Rattler, Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Bijan Robinson, J.K. Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris and Tank Bigsby are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kenneth Walker III, Rachaad White, Rhamondre Stevenson, Tyler Allgeier and Zach Charbonnet are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Breece Hall, Jonathan Taylor, Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Tyler Goodson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Drake London, Davante Adams, Garrett Wilson, DK Metcalf and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tee Higgins, George Pickens, Jaylen Waddle, Diontae Johnson and Jalen Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, Deebo Samuel, Zay Flowers, Chris Olave and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Cole Kmet, T.J. Hockenson, Dallas Goedert, Foster Moreau and Lucas Krull are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Conklin, Mike Gesicki, Tyler Higbee, Austin Hooper and Harrison Bryant are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Trey McBride, T.J. Hockenson, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Hayden Hurst and Lucas Krull are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Josh Allen, Bo Nix, Jayden Daniels, Mason Rudolph and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones and Will Levis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Tua Tagovailoa, Spencer Rattler, Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Bijan Robinson, J.K. Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris and Tank Bigsby are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Kenneth Walker III, Rachaad White, Rhamondre Stevenson, Tyler Allgeier and Zach Charbonnet are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Breece Hall, Jonathan Taylor, Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Tyler Goodson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

Drake London, Davante Adams, Garrett Wilson, DK Metcalf and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tee Higgins, George Pickens, Jaylen Waddle, Diontae Johnson and Jalen Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, Deebo Samuel, Zay Flowers, Chris Olave and Jakobi Meyers are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Cole Kmet, T.J. Hockenson, Dallas Goedert, Foster Moreau and Lucas Krull are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Conklin, Mike Gesicki, Tyler Higbee, Austin Hooper and Harrison Bryant are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Trey McBride, T.J. Hockenson, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Hayden Hurst and Lucas Krull are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Wil Lutz, Chris Boswell, Brandon Aubrey, Austin Seibert and Anders Carlson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Justin Tucker, Jake Bates, Cairo Santos, Jason Myers and Matt Gay are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Wil Lutz, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Austin Seibert, Anders Carlson and Greg Joseph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.