Welcome to week 9!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, CBS,
FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL, NumberFire and FFToday. The data for this
article was collected on 10/31/24. For more details on WR gold mining
and how to interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Justin Herbert, Andy Dalton and Malik
Willis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Geno Smith, Justin Herbert and Tua
Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Jordan Love, Drake Maye, Mason
Rudolph and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Bijan Robinson, James Conner, D’Andre Swift, Brian Robinson and
Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Kenneth Walker III, David Montgomery, Tyjae Spears, Zach Charbonnet
and Kimani Vidal are the players with the smallest downside,
which suggests that while their median projection might not be great,
there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if
you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk,
these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Breece Hall, De’Von Achane, Tank Bigsby, Bucky
Irving and Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Brian Thomas Jr., Tee Higgins and
Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Marvin Harrison Jr., Courtland Sutton, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Xavier
Legette and Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest
downside, which suggests that while their median projection might
not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may
perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your
downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, A.J. Brown, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Tee
Higgins and Cedric Tillman are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Sam LaPorta, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, Dallas Goedert and Taysom Hill
are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from
their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing
much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this
week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip
the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Zach Ertz, T.J. Hockenson, Jonnu Smith, Noah Gray and Chigoziem
Okonkwo are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Brock Bowers, Mark Andrews, Dallas
Goedert and Taysom Hill are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception
Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Justin Herbert, Andy Dalton and Malik
Willis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Geno Smith, Justin Herbert and Tua
Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Jordan Love, Drake Maye, Mason
Rudolph and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Alvin Kamara, Bijan Robinson, James Conner, Brian Robinson and
Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Kimani Vidal, Emanuel Wilson
and Dare Ogunbowale are the players with the smallest downside,
which suggests that while their median projection might not be great,
there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if
you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk,
these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Breece Hall, Bucky Irving, Tank Bigsby, Tyrone
Tracy and Ezekiel Elliott are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Tee Higgins and Diontae
Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Xavier Worthy, Romeo Doubs and
Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins, Brian Thomas Jr., Cedric
Tillman and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Travis Kelce, Cole Kmet, Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert and Foster
Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Zach Ertz, Noah Gray, Adam Trautman, Mo Alie-Cox and Cade Stover are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Dalton Schultz, Dallas Goedert, Isaiah Likely,
Ja’Tavion Sanders and Grant Calcaterra are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs
Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Justin Herbert, Andy Dalton and Malik
Willis are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Geno Smith, Justin Herbert and Tua
Tagovailoa are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Jordan Love, Drake Maye, Mason
Rudolph and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Alvin Kamara, Bijan Robinson, James Conner, Brian Robinson and
Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Kimani Vidal, Emanuel Wilson
and Dare Ogunbowale are the players with the smallest downside,
which suggests that while their median projection might not be great,
there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if
you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk,
these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Breece Hall, Bucky Irving, Tank Bigsby, Tyrone
Tracy and Ezekiel Elliott are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Tee Higgins and Diontae
Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Xavier Worthy, Romeo Doubs and
Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins, Brian Thomas Jr., Cedric
Tillman and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Travis Kelce, Cole Kmet, Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert and Foster
Moreau are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Zach Ertz, Noah Gray, Adam Trautman, Mo Alie-Cox and Cade Stover are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Dalton Schultz, Dallas Goedert, Isaiah Likely,
Ja’Tavion Sanders and Grant Calcaterra are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Younghoe Koo, Austin Seibert, Brandon Aubrey, Jason Myers and
Brandon McManus are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Austin Seibert, Jake Elliott, Tyler Bass, Jason Sanders and Matt Gay
are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon Aubrey, Will Reichard, Riley Patterson,
Daniel Carlson and Greg Joseph are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.