Welcome to week 10!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks,
FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire, CBS, NFL and FFToday. The data for
this article was collected on 11/07/24. For more details on WR gold
mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Mac Jones and Mason
Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young,
Will Levis and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.