make_rmd.knit

Welcome to week 10!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire, CBS, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 11/06/24. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Table

Projection Graphs Standard Leagues

QB

Standard Scoring League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Baker Mayfield, Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

Bijan Robinson, James Conner, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson and Jordan Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Mixon, James Cook, Jordan Mason, Justice Hill and Cam Akers are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, Breece Hall, De’Von Achane and Chase Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

George Pickens, A.J. Brown, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr. and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Zay Flowers, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Sterling Shepard and Demario Douglas are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, Drake London and Tee Higgins are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Standard Scoring League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, Taysom Hill and Isaiah Likely are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Dalton Kincaid, T.J. Hockenson, Hunter Henry, Jake Ferguson and Zach Ertz are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Cade Otton, Mark Andrews and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues

QB

Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Baker Mayfield, Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

James Cook, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson, Jordan Mason and Jonathon Brooks are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Mixon, Cam Akers, Kimani Vidal, Emari Demercado and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, Austin Ekeler, Tank Bigsby and Khalil Herbert are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

A.J. Brown, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr., Jalen McMillan and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Jauan Jennings, Demario Douglas and Sterling Shepard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, Drake London, Tee Higgins and Jalen McMillan are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Mike Gesicki, Cole Kmet, Isaiah Likely and Grant Calcaterra are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Dalton Kincaid, Jake Ferguson, Brenton Strange, Austin Hooper and Adam Trautman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Mike Gesicki, Dallas Goedert and Isaiah Likely are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues

QB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback

From the graph below notice that:

Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Baker Mayfield, Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton, Bryce Young and Mason Rudolph are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

RB

Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

James Cook, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson, Jordan Mason and Jonathon Brooks are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Joe Mixon, Cam Akers, Kimani Vidal, Emari Demercado and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, Austin Ekeler, Tank Bigsby and Khalil Herbert are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

WR

Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver

From the graph below notice that:

A.J. Brown, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr., Jalen McMillan and Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Jauan Jennings, Demario Douglas and Sterling Shepard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, Drake London, Tee Higgins and Jalen McMillan are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

TE

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End

From the graph below notice that:

Mark Andrews, Mike Gesicki, Cole Kmet, Isaiah Likely and Grant Calcaterra are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Dalton Kincaid, Jake Ferguson, Brenton Strange, Austin Hooper and Adam Trautman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Mike Gesicki, Dallas Goedert and Isaiah Likely are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Projection Graphs Kickers

K

Standard Scoring K

From the graph below notice that:

Younghoe Koo, Austin Seibert, John Parker Romo, Joey Slye and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
Tyler Bass, Joshua Karty, Chase McLaughlin, Wil Lutz and Jude McAtamney are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Austin Seibert, Cameron Dicker, Brandon Aubrey, Matt Gay and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.