Welcome to week 10!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks,
FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire, CBS, NFL and FFToday. The data for
this article was collected on 11/07/24. For more details on WR gold
mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Mac Jones and Mason
Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young,
Will Levis and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Bijan Robinson, James Conner, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson and
Jordan Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Derrick Henry, James Cook, Justice Hill, Cam Akers and Antonio
Gibson are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, Breece Hall,
De’Von Achane and Chase Brown are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Malik Nabers, George Pickens, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr. and
Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Michael Pittman, Xavier Legette, Sterling Shepard
and Demario Douglas are the players with the smallest downside,
which suggests that while their median projection might not be great,
there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if
you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk,
these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Drake London,
Amari Cooper and Demarcus Robinson are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, Juwan Johnson and Taysom
Hill are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Dalton Kincaid, T.J. Hockenson, Jonnu Smith, Zach Ertz and Tyler
Conklin are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Cade Otton, Mark
Andrews and Sam LaPorta are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception
Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Mac Jones and Mason
Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young,
Will Levis and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- J.K. Dobbins, James Conner, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson and Jordan
Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Antonio Gibson, Cam Akers, Kimani Vidal and Sean
Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, Chase Brown,
Austin Ekeler and Khalil Herbert are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr. and
Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Jauan Jennings and
Xavier Legette are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Amari Cooper, Jalen
McMillan and Ricky Pearsall are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Cade Otton, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, Taysom Hill and Grant
Calcaterra are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Dalton Kincaid, Hayden Hurst, Brenton Strange, Austin Hooper and
Dawson Knox are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Cade Otton, Mark
Andrews and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
Projection Graphs
Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Mac Jones and Mason
Rudolph are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow, Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco and Cooper Rush are
the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that
while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence, Bryce Young,
Will Levis and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- J.K. Dobbins, James Conner, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson and Jordan
Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Antonio Gibson, Cam Akers, Kimani Vidal and Sean
Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, Chase Brown,
Austin Ekeler and Khalil Herbert are the five players with the
largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them,
it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low
expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Malik Nabers, Garrett Wilson, Drake London, Brian Thomas Jr. and
Diontae Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, Jauan Jennings and
Xavier Legette are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Amari Cooper, Jalen
McMillan and Ricky Pearsall are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Cade Otton, Mark Andrews, Cole Kmet, Taysom Hill and Grant
Calcaterra are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Dalton Kincaid, Hayden Hurst, Brenton Strange, Austin Hooper and
Dawson Knox are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Cade Otton, Mark
Andrews and Dallas Goedert are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Younghoe Koo, Austin Seibert, Chad Ryland, Joey Slye and Graham Gano
are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from
their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing
much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this
week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip
the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Bass, Joshua Karty, Chase McLaughlin, Wil Lutz and Jude
McAtamney are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Austin Seibert, Brandon Aubrey, Cameron Dicker,
Matt Gay and Graham Gano are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.