Welcome to week 12!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, CBS, NumberFire, FantasySharks, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 11/21/24. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Geno Smith, Matthew Stafford and Sam Darnold are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Bryce Young and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Brock Purdy, C.J. Stroud and Matthew Stafford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Brian Robinson, Kareem Hunt, Rhamondre Stevenson, Isiah Pacheco and Raheem Mostert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kenneth Walker III, J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, MarShawn Lloyd and D’Onta Foreman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Kyren Williams, Kareem Hunt, Tyrone Tracy and Isiah Pacheco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Mike Evans, Courtland Sutton, Jayden Reed, Calvin Ridley and Jameson Williams are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Rome Odunze, Wan’Dale Robinson, Tre Tucker and Sterling Shepard are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Nico Collins, Tyreek Hill, Cooper Kupp and DeAndre Hopkins are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Dallas Goedert, Sam LaPorta, Zach Ertz, Cole Kmet and Noah Fant are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- T.J. Hockenson, Jake Ferguson, Theo Johnson, Isaiah Likely and Pat Freiermuth are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Luke Schoonmaker and Ja’Tavion Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Geno Smith, Matthew Stafford and Sam Darnold are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Bryce Young and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Brock Purdy, C.J. Stroud and Matthew Stafford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rhamondre Stevenson, Kareem Hunt, Isiah Pacheco, Ezekiel Elliott and Sean Tucker are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, MarShawn Lloyd, D’Onta Foreman and Emari Demercado are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, James Conner, Kyren Williams, Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Mike Evans, Calvin Ridley, D.J. Moore, Xavier Legette and Joshua Palmer are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle, Rome Odunze, Xavier Legette and Kendrick Bourne are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Terry McLaurin, DeAndre Hopkins and Kayshon Boutte are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, Cole Kmet, Noah Fant and Colby Parkinson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jake Ferguson, Austin Hooper, Jordan Akins, Darnell Washington and Adam Trautman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Hunter Henry, Will Dissly, Sam LaPorta, Mark Andrews and Luke Schoonmaker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Geno Smith, Matthew Stafford and Sam Darnold are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Lamar Jackson, Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Bryce Young and Daniel Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Brock Purdy, C.J. Stroud and Matthew Stafford are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rhamondre Stevenson, Kareem Hunt, Isiah Pacheco, Ezekiel Elliott and Sean Tucker are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, MarShawn Lloyd, D’Onta Foreman and Emari Demercado are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, James Conner, Kyren Williams, Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Mike Evans, Calvin Ridley, D.J. Moore, Xavier Legette and Joshua Palmer are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Jaylen Waddle, Rome Odunze, Xavier Legette and Kendrick Bourne are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Terry McLaurin, DeAndre Hopkins and Kayshon Boutte are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, Cole Kmet, Noah Fant and Colby Parkinson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jake Ferguson, Austin Hooper, Jordan Akins, Darnell Washington and Adam Trautman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Hunter Henry, Will Dissly, Sam LaPorta, Mark Andrews and Luke Schoonmaker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Jake Bates, Brandon McManus, Spencer Shrader, Jake Moody and Brandon Aubrey are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Tucker, Joey Slye, John Parker Romo, Chad Ryland and Eddy Pineiro are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Cameron Dicker, Spencer Shrader, Jake Moody and Brandon Aubrey are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
