Welcome to week 16!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, CBS, NFL,
ESPN, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker and NumberFire. The data for this article
was collected on 12/18/24. For more details on WR gold mining and how to
interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Drew Lock, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Jake Haener, Desmond Ridder and
Spencer Rattler are the five players with the largest upside (as
measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some
projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are
projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a
risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to
consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, Russell Wilson and C.J.
Stroud are the players with the smallest downside, which
suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is
less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes, Geno Smith, Jameis Winston, Drew
Lock and Jake Haener are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.