Welcome to week 17!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, NFL,
FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire and FFToday. The data for this
article was collected on 12/26/24. For more details on WR gold mining
and how to interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Aidan O’Connell, Cooper Rush and Kenny
Pickett are the five players with the largest upside (as measured
from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are
placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose
this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that
may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Geno Smith, Aidan O’Connell and Mac
Jones are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests
that while their median projection might not be great, there is less
uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are
likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these
players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Jordan
Love and Spencer Rattler are the five players with the largest
downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be
prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations
for these players.