Welcome to week 6!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire, CBS, FantasySharks, FFToday and NFL. The data for this article was collected on 10/09/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jared Goff, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Dillon Gabriel and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr. and Joe Flacco are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson, Cooper Rush and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- J.K. Dobbins, Rachaad White, Rico Dowdle, Tony Pollard and David Montgomery are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kenneth Walker III, Michael Carter, Tyrone Tracy, Justice Hill and Brian Robinson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Quinshon Judkins, Rico Dowdle, TreVeyon Henderson, Chuba Hubbard and Kimani Vidal are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Puka Nacua, Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Keenan Allen and CeeDee Lamb are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Wan’Dale Robinson, Marquise Brown, Marvin Mims and Travis Hunter are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Terry McLaurin, Keon Coleman, Ricky Pearsall and KaVontae Turpin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Darren Waller, Mark Andrews, Jake Tonges, Jonnu Smith and Isaiah Likely are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- David Njoku, Jake Tonges, Harold Fannin, Evan Engram and Chigoziem Okonkwo are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tucker Kraft, Tyler Warren, Hunter Henry, Zach Ertz and Ja’Tavion Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jared Goff, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Dillon Gabriel and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr. and Joe Flacco are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson, Cooper Rush and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rachaad White, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tony Pollard, David Montgomery and Chuba Hubbard are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kendre Miller, Tyrone Tracy, Jerome Ford and Ameer Abdullah are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Rachaad White, Rico Dowdle, Chuba Hubbard, Kimani Vidal and Miles Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Quentin Johnston, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, CeeDee Lamb and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Chris Olave, Marquise Brown, Travis Hunter and Marvin Mims are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Terry McLaurin, Keon Coleman, Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- David Njoku, Mark Andrews, Jake Tonges, Jonnu Smith and Will Dissly are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Sam LaPorta, Evan Engram, Tyler Higbee, Daniel Bellinger and Noah Gray are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tyler Warren, Brock Bowers, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble and Will Dissly are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jared Goff, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Dillon Gabriel and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr. and Joe Flacco are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson, Cooper Rush and Mac Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rachaad White, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tony Pollard, David Montgomery and Chuba Hubbard are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kendre Miller, Tyrone Tracy, Jerome Ford and Ameer Abdullah are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Rachaad White, Rico Dowdle, Chuba Hubbard, Kimani Vidal and Miles Sanders are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Quentin Johnston, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, CeeDee Lamb and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Chris Olave, Marquise Brown, Travis Hunter and Marvin Mims are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Terry McLaurin, Keon Coleman, Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- David Njoku, Mark Andrews, Jake Tonges, Jonnu Smith and Will Dissly are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Sam LaPorta, Evan Engram, Tyler Higbee, Daniel Bellinger and Noah Gray are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tyler Warren, Brock Bowers, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble and Will Dissly are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Matt Gay, Cameron Dicker, Joey Slye, Tyler Loop and Jason Sanders are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Matt Prater, Mike Badgley, Riley Patterson, Jude McAtamney and Andre Szmyt are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon Aubrey, Matt Gay, Harrison Butker, Jason Myers and Nick Folk are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
