Welcome to week 8!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, CBS, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FantasySharks. The data for this article was collected on 10/22/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Andy Dalton and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, Spencer Rattler and Dillon Gabriel are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Carson Wentz and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Jordan Mason, Rachaad White, Bucky Irving, Chuba Hubbard and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Saquon Barkley, Jaylen Warren, Kyle Monangai, Tyrone Tracy and Isaiah Davis are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Jordan Mason, Woody Marks, Hassan Haskins and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Drake London, Nico Collins, Chris Godwin and Brandon Aiyuk are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Jefferson, Calvin Ridley, Wan’Dale Robinson, Darnell Mooney and Elic Ayomanor are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, Tetairoa McMillan, Tee Higgins and Christian Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Tyler Warren, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Theo Johnson and Darren Waller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- T.J. Hockenson, Mason Taylor, Dalton Schultz, Chigoziem Okonkwo and Colston Loveland are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft, Hunter Henry, Isaiah Likely and Darren Waller are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Andy Dalton and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, Spencer Rattler and Dillon Gabriel are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Carson Wentz and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rachaad White, Bucky Irving, Chuba Hubbard, Hassan Haskins and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Saquon Barkley, Isaiah Davis, Jerome Ford, Jeremy McNichols and Brian Robinson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Bucky Irving, Woody Marks, Hassan Haskins and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Nico Collins, Chris Godwin, Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Wan’Dale Robinson, Khalil Shakir, Elic Ayomanor and Darius Slayton are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Emeka Egbuka, Nico Collins, Tetairoa McMillan, Kendrick Bourne and Christian Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Juwan Johnson, Evan Engram, Darren Waller, Daniel Bellinger and Tommy Tremble are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kyle Pitts, T.J. Hockenson, Mason Taylor, Dalton Schultz and Dawson Knox are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tyler Warren, Oronde Gadsden, David Njoku, Darren Waller and Darnell Washington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Andy Dalton and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Justin Herbert, Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, Spencer Rattler and Dillon Gabriel are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jayden Daniels, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Carson Wentz and Andy Dalton are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rachaad White, Bucky Irving, Chuba Hubbard, Hassan Haskins and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Saquon Barkley, Isaiah Davis, Jerome Ford, Jeremy McNichols and Brian Robinson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Bucky Irving, Woody Marks, Hassan Haskins and Joe Mixon are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Nico Collins, Chris Godwin, Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Wan’Dale Robinson, Khalil Shakir, Elic Ayomanor and Darius Slayton are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Emeka Egbuka, Nico Collins, Tetairoa McMillan, Kendrick Bourne and Christian Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Juwan Johnson, Evan Engram, Darren Waller, Daniel Bellinger and Tommy Tremble are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Kyle Pitts, T.J. Hockenson, Mason Taylor, Dalton Schultz and Dawson Knox are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tyler Warren, Oronde Gadsden, David Njoku, Darren Waller and Darnell Washington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- John Parker Romo, Brandon Aubrey, Chase McLaughlin, Will Reichard and Matt Gay are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- John Parker Romo, Brandon McManus, Andres Borregales, Andre Szmyt and Lucas Havrisik are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon Aubrey, Chase McLaughlin, Evan McPherson, Cameron Dicker and Riley Patterson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
