Welcome to week 10!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, CBS, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 11/07/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix, Matthew Stafford and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold and Justin Fields are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Quinshon Judkins, Bucky Irving, D’Andre Swift, David Montgomery and Rachaad White are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jahmyr Gibbs, Rico Dowdle, J.K. Dobbins, Kenneth Walker III and Nick Chubb are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Kimani Vidal, Woody Marks, Rachaad White and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Justin Jefferson, Drake London, A.J. Brown and Troy Franklin are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Courtland Sutton, Rome Odunze, Wan’Dale Robinson, Troy Franklin and Tre Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jaylen Waddle, Garrett Wilson and Brian Thomas Jr. are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Juwan Johnson and Cade Otton are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Hunter Henry, Kyle Pitts, Theo Johnson, Juwan Johnson and David Njoku are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, George Kittle, Tyler Warren, Oronde Gadsden, Dalton Kincaid and Colston Loveland are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix, Matthew Stafford and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold and Justin Fields are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Bucky Irving, D’Andre Swift, Kyle Monangai, Rachaad White and Devin Singletary are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, J.K. Dobbins, Kenneth Walker III and Aaron Jones are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Kimani Vidal, Rachaad White, Woody Marks and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Drake London, Justin Jefferson, Nico Collins and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Ladd McConkey, Rome Odunze, Wan’Dale Robinson, Deebo Samuel and Josh Downs are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Justin Jefferson, Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Juwan Johnson and Cade Otton are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brock Bowers, Kyle Pitts, Hunter Henry, David Njoku and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Tyler Warren, Oronde Gadsden, George Kittle and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix, Matthew Stafford and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold and Justin Fields are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Lamar Jackson, Jaxson Dart, Jalen Hurts, Bo Nix and Brock Purdy are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Bucky Irving, D’Andre Swift, Kyle Monangai, Rachaad White and Devin Singletary are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, J.K. Dobbins, Kenneth Walker III and Aaron Jones are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, D’Andre Swift, Kimani Vidal, Rachaad White, Woody Marks and Rhamondre Stevenson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Drake London, Justin Jefferson, Nico Collins and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Ladd McConkey, Rome Odunze, Wan’Dale Robinson, Deebo Samuel and Josh Downs are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Justin Jefferson, Garrett Wilson and Tetairoa McMillan are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Juwan Johnson and Cade Otton are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brock Bowers, Kyle Pitts, Hunter Henry, David Njoku and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Tyler Warren, Oronde Gadsden, George Kittle and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Cameron Dicker, Jason Myers, Cairo Santos, Ka’imi Fairbairn and Cam Little are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Mike Badgley, Matthew Wright, Andre Szmyt, Andres Borregales and Cam Little are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Chase McLaughlin, Chris Boswell, Riley Patterson, Zane Gonzalez and Ka’imi Fairbairn are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
