Welcome to week 11!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, ESPN, CBS, NumberFire, FFToday, NFL, FantasyPros and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 11/13/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Drake Maye, Caleb Williams, Matthew Stafford and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Bo Nix and Jacoby Brissett are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers, J.J. McCarthy and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Rico Dowdle, Jaylen Warren, Quinshon Judkins, Tyrone Tracy and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jaylen Warren, Kyren Williams, Kimani Vidal, Aaron Jones and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Bijan Robinson, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, Rachaad White and RJ Harvey are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Emeka Egbuka, Jaylen Waddle and Rome Odunze are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Puka Nacua, Emeka Egbuka, Davante Adams, Wan’Dale Robinson and Troy Franklin are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ja’Marr Chase, Rashee Rice, Tee Higgins, Brian Thomas Jr. and Christian Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Sam LaPorta, Jake Ferguson and Oronde Gadsden are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Sam LaPorta, Kyle Pitts, Theo Johnson, David Njoku and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brock Bowers, George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Cade Otton and Oronde Gadsden are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Drake Maye, Caleb Williams, Matthew Stafford and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Bo Nix and Jacoby Brissett are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers, J.J. McCarthy and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rico Dowdle, Jaylen Warren, Quinshon Judkins, Tyrone Tracy and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jaylen Warren, Kyren Williams, Kimani Vidal, Quinshon Judkins and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Bijan Robinson, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, Rachaad White and Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Ja’Marr Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Jaylen Waddle and Rome Odunze are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Davante Adams, Courtland Sutton, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings and Troy Franklin are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ja’Marr Chase, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, Tee Higgins and Brian Thomas Jr. are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Oronde Gadsden, Harold Fannin and David Njoku are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Dallas Goedert, Sam LaPorta, Kyle Pitts, Theo Johnson and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Cade Otton, Hunter Henry, Oronde Gadsden and Harold Fannin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Drake Maye, Caleb Williams, Matthew Stafford and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, Jordan Love, Bo Nix and Jacoby Brissett are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers, J.J. McCarthy and Joe Flacco are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rico Dowdle, Jaylen Warren, Quinshon Judkins, Tyrone Tracy and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jaylen Warren, Kyren Williams, Kimani Vidal, Quinshon Judkins and Sean Tucker are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Bijan Robinson, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, Rachaad White and Tyrone Tracy are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Ja’Marr Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Jaylen Waddle and Rome Odunze are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Davante Adams, Courtland Sutton, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings and Troy Franklin are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ja’Marr Chase, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, Tee Higgins and Brian Thomas Jr. are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Oronde Gadsden, Harold Fannin and David Njoku are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Dallas Goedert, Sam LaPorta, Kyle Pitts, Theo Johnson and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Cade Otton, Hunter Henry, Oronde Gadsden and Harold Fannin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Chase McLaughlin, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Jason Myers, Nick Folk and Matthew Wright are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Zane Gonzalez, Jake Elliott, Younghoe Koo, Ryan Fitzgerald and Matthew Wright are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon Aubrey, Will Reichard, Riley Patterson, Jake Bates and Harrison Mevis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
