Welcome to week 12!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: ESPN, FantasySharks, CBS, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NFL and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 11/20/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Jared Goff, Caleb Williams and Jacoby Brissett are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jordan Love and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Emanuel Wilson, Bucky Irving, Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Jacobs and Kenneth Gainwell are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Rico Dowdle, Javonte Williams, Kenneth Walker III, D’Andre Swift and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaylen Warren, Emanuel Wilson, Rhamondre Stevenson, Josh Jacobs and Sean Tucker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, A.J. Brown, Tetairoa McMillan and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Davante Adams, Jauan Jennings, Michael Pittman and Wan’Dale Robinson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jameson Williams, Zay Flowers, Christian Watson, Rashid Shaheed and Kayshon Boutte are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Mark Andrews and Jake Ferguson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brock Bowers, Tyler Warren, Cade Otton, Dalton Schultz and Mason Taylor are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert, Jake Ferguson and AJ Barner are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Jared Goff, Caleb Williams and Jacoby Brissett are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jordan Love and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Quinshon Judkins, Emanuel Wilson, Bucky Irving, Rhamondre Stevenson and Josh Jacobs are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Rico Dowdle, Javonte Williams, Kyren Williams, D’Andre Swift and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaylen Warren, Emanuel Wilson, Rachaad White, Rhamondre Stevenson and Josh Jacobs are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, A.J. Brown, Tetairoa McMillan and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- DeVonta Smith, Wan’Dale Robinson, Michael Wilson, Jauan Jennings and Alec Pierce are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed, Christian Watson and Parker Washington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Harold Fannin, Mason Taylor and AJ Barner are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brock Bowers, Tyler Warren, Hunter Henry, Cade Otton and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Kyle Pitts, Mark Andrews, David Njoku and AJ Barner are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Jared Goff, Caleb Williams and Jacoby Brissett are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Jordan Love and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Quinshon Judkins, Emanuel Wilson, Bucky Irving, Rhamondre Stevenson and Josh Jacobs are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Rico Dowdle, Javonte Williams, Kyren Williams, D’Andre Swift and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaylen Warren, Emanuel Wilson, Rachaad White, Rhamondre Stevenson and Josh Jacobs are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, A.J. Brown, Tetairoa McMillan and Jauan Jennings are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- DeVonta Smith, Wan’Dale Robinson, Michael Wilson, Jauan Jennings and Alec Pierce are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Justin Jefferson, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed, Christian Watson and Parker Washington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Harold Fannin, Mason Taylor and AJ Barner are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brock Bowers, Tyler Warren, Hunter Henry, Cade Otton and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Travis Kelce, Kyle Pitts, Mark Andrews, David Njoku and AJ Barner are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Chase McLaughlin, Cairo Santos, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Lucas Havrisik and Jake Moody are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Mike Badgley, Zane Gonzalez, Brandon McManus, Ryan Fitzgerald and Andre Szmyt are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Cam Little, Chris Boswell, Cairo Santos, Daniel Carlson and Harrison Mevis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
