Welcome to week 14!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, NFL, ESPN, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, FFToday, CBS and NumberFire. The data for this article was collected on 12/04/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Justin Herbert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Bo Nix, Joe Burrow and Marcus Mariota are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- James Cook, Quinshon Judkins, D’Andre Swift, Kimani Vidal and Devin Neal are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Zach Charbonnet, Devin Neal and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, Travis Etienne, Kareem Hunt and Kimani Vidal are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Jameson Williams, Emeka Egbuka, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Jameson Williams, Marvin Harrison Jr., Rome Odunze and Jordan Addison are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Emeka Egbuka, Tee Higgins, Courtland Sutton, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Kyle Pitts, Harold Fannin, Juwan Johnson and Darren Waller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Dalton Kincaid, Juwan Johnson, Dalton Schultz, AJ Barner and T.J. Hockenson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Mark Andrews, Jake Ferguson and Oronde Gadsden are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Justin Herbert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Bo Nix, Joe Burrow and Marcus Mariota are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- James Cook, Javonte Williams, Devin Neal, Kimani Vidal and Aaron Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kyren Williams, Devin Neal, Zach Charbonnet and Chris Rodriguez are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Jacobs, Chase Brown, Travis Etienne, Kareem Hunt and Kimani Vidal are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Emeka Egbuka, Justin Jefferson, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Nico Collins, A.J. Brown, Marvin Harrison Jr. and DK Metcalf are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Emeka Egbuka, Tee Higgins, Jakobi Meyers, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, Brenton Strange and Darren Waller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Kyle Pitts, Dalton Kincaid, Dalton Schultz, Dallas Goedert and T.J. Hockenson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz and Brenton Strange are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Jalen Hurts, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Justin Herbert are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, Bo Nix, Joe Burrow and Marcus Mariota are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- James Cook, Javonte Williams, Devin Neal, Kimani Vidal and Aaron Jones are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Derrick Henry, Kyren Williams, Devin Neal, Zach Charbonnet and Chris Rodriguez are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Josh Jacobs, Chase Brown, Travis Etienne, Kareem Hunt and Kimani Vidal are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- CeeDee Lamb, Emeka Egbuka, Justin Jefferson, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Nico Collins, A.J. Brown, Marvin Harrison Jr. and DK Metcalf are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Emeka Egbuka, Tee Higgins, Jakobi Meyers, Drake London and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, Brenton Strange and Darren Waller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Kyle Pitts, Dalton Kincaid, Dalton Schultz, Dallas Goedert and T.J. Hockenson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz and Brenton Strange are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Jason Myers, Jake Bates, Chris Boswell, Will Reichard and Ka’imi Fairbairn are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Matt Prater, Harrison Mevis, Zane Gonzalez, Andre Szmyt and Charlie Smyth are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jason Myers, Chase McLaughlin, Riley Patterson, Will Reichard and Chad Ryland are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
