Welcome to week 15!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, CBS, ESPN, NumberFire, FFToday, NFL, FantasyPros and FleaFlicker. The data for this article was collected on 12/11/25. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Bijan Robinson, De’Von Achane, Chris Rodriguez, Tyrone Tracy and Devin Singletary are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones, Zach Charbonnet, Tony Pollard and Devin Singletary are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Saquon Barkley, TreVeyon Henderson, Chris Rodriguez, Devin Neal and David Montgomery are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, George Pickens, Rashee Rice, CeeDee Lamb and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Davante Adams, George Pickens, Rashee Rice, Wan’Dale Robinson and Jordan Addison are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Tetairoa McMillan, Michael Wilson, Jakobi Meyers and Mike Evans are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- George Kittle, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Dalton Kincaid and Jake Ferguson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Hunter Henry, Dalton Kincaid and Oronde Gadsden are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Mark Andrews, Jake Ferguson and Brenton Strange are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Bijan Robinson, Woody Marks, Travis Etienne, Tyrone Tracy and Chris Rodriguez are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Travis Etienne, Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones, Tony Pollard and Zach Charbonnet are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Saquon Barkley, TreVeyon Henderson, Devin Neal, Kareem Hunt and Chris Rodriguez are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, Michael Wilson and Mike Evans are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Wan’Dale Robinson, DK Metcalf, Courtland Sutton and Michael Pittman are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Chris Olave, Michael Wilson and Mike Evans are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Dalton Kincaid, Oronde Gadsden and AJ Barner are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce and Brenton Strange are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Jaxson Dart, Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaxson Dart, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff and Marcus Mariota are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Bijan Robinson, Woody Marks, Travis Etienne, Tyrone Tracy and Chris Rodriguez are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Travis Etienne, Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones, Tony Pollard and Zach Charbonnet are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Saquon Barkley, TreVeyon Henderson, Devin Neal, Kareem Hunt and Chris Rodriguez are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, Michael Wilson and Mike Evans are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- George Pickens, Wan’Dale Robinson, DK Metcalf, Courtland Sutton and Michael Pittman are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amon-Ra St. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Chris Olave, Michael Wilson and Mike Evans are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Dalton Kincaid, Oronde Gadsden and AJ Barner are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Travis Kelce and Brenton Strange are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Brandon Aubrey, Jason Myers, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Chris Boswell and Cameron Dicker are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Harrison Mevis, Zane Gonzalez, Ryan Fitzgerald, Blake Grupe and Andre Szmyt are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Brandon Aubrey, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Chris Boswell, Jake Moody and Nick Folk are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
