Welcome to week 2!
Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS, FantasySharks, FleaFlicker, FantasyPros, NumberFire, FFToday and ESPN. The data for this article was collected on 09/18/26. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .
Projection Table
Projection Graphs Standard Leagues
QB
Standard Scoring League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jaxson Dart, Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Dak Prescott, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
- Kenneth Walker III, Ashton Jeanty, Aaron Jones, Jadarian Price and MarShawn Lloyd are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Saquon Barkley, J.K. Dobbins and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ashton Jeanty, Chase Brown, Cam Skattebo, Bucky Irving and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Christian Watson, Rome Odunze, Ladd McConkey and Jaylen Waddle are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Malik Nabers, Emeka Egbuka, Rome Odunze and DK Metcalf are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Nico Collins, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore, Tee Higgins and Luther Burden are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Standard Scoring League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, George Kittle, Tucker Kraft and Colston Loveland are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Tyler Warren, Isaiah Likely, Brock Bowers, Kyle Pitts and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, Dalton Kincaid, George Kittle and Mark Andrews are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jaxson Dart, Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Dak Prescott, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Kenneth Walker III, Ashton Jeanty, Jadarian Price, Chuba Hubbard and MarShawn Lloyd are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Chuba Hubbard, Quinshon Judkins and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ashton Jeanty, Chase Brown, Cam Skattebo, Jadarian Price and MarShawn Lloyd are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Ladd McConkey, Jaylen Waddle, Rome Odunze and DK Metcalf are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Jameson Williams, Rome Odunze, DK Metcalf and Courtland Sutton are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Nico Collins, Christian Watson, Jalen Coker and Luther Burden are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, Tyler Warren, George Kittle and Colston Loveland are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Sam LaPorta, Harold Fannin and Kyle Pitts are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, Brock Bowers, George Kittle and Dalton Schultz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Half-Point-per-Reception Leagues
QB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterback
From the graph below notice that:
- Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jaxson Dart, Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Dak Prescott, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
RB
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Kenneth Walker III, Ashton Jeanty, Jadarian Price, Chuba Hubbard and MarShawn Lloyd are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Chuba Hubbard, Quinshon Judkins and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Ashton Jeanty, Chase Brown, Cam Skattebo, Jadarian Price and MarShawn Lloyd are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
WR
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver
From the graph below notice that:
- Justin Jefferson, Ladd McConkey, Jaylen Waddle, Rome Odunze and DK Metcalf are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Garrett Wilson, Jameson Williams, Rome Odunze, DK Metcalf and Courtland Sutton are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Nico Collins, Christian Watson, Jalen Coker and Luther Burden are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
TE
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight-End
From the graph below notice that:
- Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, Tyler Warren, George Kittle and Colston Loveland are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Sam LaPorta, Harold Fannin and Kyle Pitts are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Trey McBride, Dallas Goedert, Brock Bowers, George Kittle and Dalton Schultz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Projection Graphs Kickers
K
Standard Scoring K
From the graph below notice that:
- Cameron Dicker, Cairo Santos, Chase McLaughlin, Joey Slye and Blake Grupe are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
- Brandon Aubrey, Ka’imi Fairbairn, Cameron Dicker, Jason Sanders and Andre Szmyt are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Chase McLaughlin, Evan McPherson, Cam Little, Nick Folk and Blake Grupe are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
