Welcome to week 5!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, NumberFire, FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, CBS and ESPN. The data for this article was collected on 10/08/26. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Graphs

Scoring:
Position:

Standard Scoring League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Josh Allen, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Bo Nix and Jalen Hurts are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Joe Burrow, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jared Goff, Jordan Love, C.J. Stroud, Jalon Daniels and Malik Willis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 QB projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Josh Allen, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Bo Nix and Jalen Hurts are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Joe Burrow, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jared Goff, Jordan Love, C.J. Stroud, Jalon Daniels and Malik Willis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 QB projections, PPR scoring

Click chart to enlarge

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Josh Allen, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Bo Nix and Jalen Hurts are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Joe Burrow, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford, Trevor Lawrence and Sam Darnold are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jared Goff, Jordan Love, C.J. Stroud, Jalon Daniels and Malik Willis are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 QB projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Aaron Jones, Emanuel Wilson, David Montgomery, Jacory Croskey-Merritt and J.K. Dobbins are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Bhayshul Tuten, Tony Pollard and Alvin Kamara are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Chase Brown, Jaylen Warren, Aaron Jones, Braelon Allen and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 RB projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Christian McCaffrey, Aaron Jones, Emanuel Wilson, David Montgomery and J.K. Dobbins are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, Bhayshul Tuten, Tony Pollard and Alvin Kamara are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, Jaylen Warren, Aaron Jones and Braelon Allen are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 RB projections, PPR scoring

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Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Christian McCaffrey, Aaron Jones, Emanuel Wilson, David Montgomery and J.K. Dobbins are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, Derrick Henry, Tony Pollard and Alvin Kamara are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, Jaylen Warren, Aaron Jones and Braelon Allen are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 RB projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Ja'Marr Chase, Nico Collins, Michael Wilson, Justin Jefferson and Denzel Boston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Matthew Golden, Carnell Tate, D.J. Moore and Malik Washington are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Drake London, Nico Collins, Christian Watson, Tee Higgins and Justin Jefferson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 WR projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, Malik Nabers and Denzel Boston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Josh Downs, Carnell Tate, Luther Burden, Denzel Boston and Deebo Samuel are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Nico Collins, Tee Higgins, Christian Watson, Justin Jefferson and Chris Godwin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 WR projections, PPR scoring

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Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, Jaylen Waddle and Denzel Boston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Carnell Tate, Luther Burden, Denzel Boston, Malik Washington and Rome Odunze are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Nico Collins, Drake London, Christian Watson, Tee Higgins and Justin Jefferson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 WR projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • Sam LaPorta, Brock Bowers, Harold Fannin, Tyler Warren and Tucker Kraft are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Isaiah Likely, Brenton Strange, T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth and Dalton Schultz are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Harold Fannin, Tucker Kraft, Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 TE projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brock Bowers, George Kittle, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft and Dalton Schultz are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Isaiah Likely, T.J. Hockenson, Brenton Strange, Dalton Schultz and Mark Andrews are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Trey McBride, George Kittle, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft and Hunter Henry are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 TE projections, PPR scoring

Click chart to enlarge

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brock Bowers, Sam LaPorta, George Kittle, Tyler Warren and Tucker Kraft are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Isaiah Likely, Brenton Strange, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews and Cade Otton are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, George Kittle, Tucker Kraft and Hunter Henry are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 TE projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Kickers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jake Bates, Jason Myers, Chase McLaughlin, Chris Boswell and Nick Folk are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Brandon Aubrey, Ka'imi Fairbairn, Spencer Shrader, Cam Little and Cameron Dicker are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jason Myers, Cairo Santos, Chase McLaughlin, Chris Boswell and Nick Folk are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 5 K projections, Standard scoring

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Projection Table