Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings)
are now available in
our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and
bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence
interval. Visit
our app and set up an account to input your league settings.
The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources.
This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, CBS,
FantasyPros, FleaFlicker, NumberFire and ESPN. The data for this article
was collected on 10/15/26. For more details on WR gold mining and how to
interpret the graphs above, see
Chad’s
post explaining gold mining .
Projection Graphs
Scoring:
Position:
Standard Scoring League Quarterbacks
From the graph below notice that:
Matthew Stafford, Bryce Young, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Tyler Shough are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Caleb Williams, Kirk Cousins, Daniel Jones and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks
From the graph below notice that:
Matthew Stafford, Bryce Young, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Tyler Shough are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Caleb Williams, Kirk Cousins, Daniel Jones and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks
From the graph below notice that:
Matthew Stafford, Bryce Young, Daniel Jones, Jacoby Brissett and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Josh Allen, Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott and Tyler Shough are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Matthew Stafford, Caleb Williams, Kirk Cousins, Daniel Jones and Jameis Winston are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Standard Scoring League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
Ashton Jeanty, Emanuel Wilson, Tony Pollard, J.K. Dobbins and Saquon Barkley are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Derrick Henry, Kyren Williams, James Cook, Chuba Hubbard and Tony Pollard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Jaylen Warren, Braelon Allen, Quinshon Judkins, Kyle Monangai and Saquon Barkley are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Point-per-Reception League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
Ashton Jeanty, Jaylen Warren, Emanuel Wilson, Tony Pollard and J.K. Dobbins are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Bijan Robinson, Derrick Henry, James Cook, Tony Pollard and Tyler Allgeier are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Kenneth Walker III, Jaylen Warren, Braelon Allen, Quinshon Judkins and Jacory Croskey-Merritt are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Backs
From the graph below notice that:
Ashton Jeanty, Emanuel Wilson, Tony Pollard, Quinshon Judkins and J.K. Dobbins are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Bijan Robinson, Derrick Henry, James Cook, Tony Pollard and Tyler Allgeier are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Kenneth Walker III, Jaylen Warren, Braelon Allen, Quinshon Judkins and Kyle Monangai are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Standard Scoring League Wide Receivers
From the graph below notice that:
Nico Collins, Matthew Golden, Tetairoa McMillan, Malik Nabers and Denzel Boston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Puka Nacua, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, Michael Wilson and Xavier Worthy are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Nico Collins, Matthew Golden and George Pickens are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers
From the graph below notice that:
Nico Collins, Matthew Golden, Malik Nabers, Denzel Boston and Stefon Diggs are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Mike Evans, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, Jalen Coker and Xavier Worthy are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, Matthew Golden, George Pickens and Stefon Diggs are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers
From the graph below notice that:
Matthew Golden, Tetairoa McMillan, Malik Nabers, Denzel Boston and Stefon Diggs are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Mike Evans, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, Michael Wilson and Xavier Worthy are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, Matthew Golden, George Pickens and Stefon Diggs are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Standard Scoring League Tight Ends
From the graph below notice that:
Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland and Tyler Higbee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts and Mark Andrews are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft, Juwan Johnson and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends
From the graph below notice that:
Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland and Tyler Higbee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Harold Fannin, Dalton Schultz and Mark Andrews are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Juwan Johnson and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends
From the graph below notice that:
Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland and Tyler Higbee are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Harold Fannin, Dalton Schultz and Mark Andrews are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Brock Bowers, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Juwan Johnson and Dalton Kincaid are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Click chart to enlarge
Standard Scoring League Kickers
From the graph below notice that:
Spencer Shrader, Ka'imi Fairbairn, Harrison Butker, Chase McLaughlin and Jason Myers are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
Dominic Zvada, Tyler Loop, Ka'imi Fairbairn, Cam Little and Chris Boswell are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
On the other hand, Spencer Shrader, Chase McLaughlin, Jason Myers, Drew Stevens and Chad Ryland are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.