Welcome to week 10!

Custom gold-mining charts (that are specific to your league settings) are now available in our app. They are calculated slightly differently -using the top and bottom deciles for the error bars instead of the pseudomedian confidence interval. Visit our app and set up an account to input your league settings.

The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: FantasySharks, CBS, NumberFire, FleaFlicker, ESPN and FFToday. The data for this article was collected on 11/14/26. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining .

Projection Graphs

Scoring:
Position:

Standard Scoring League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brock Purdy, Jayden Daniels, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford and Geno Smith are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff, Bryce Young and Drew Lock are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, C.J. Stroud, Matthew Stafford and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 QB projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brock Purdy, Jayden Daniels, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford and Geno Smith are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff, Bryce Young and Drew Lock are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, C.J. Stroud, Matthew Stafford and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 QB projections, PPR scoring

Click chart to enlarge

Half-Point-per-Reception League Quarterbacks

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brock Purdy, Jayden Daniels, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford and Geno Smith are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Drake Maye, Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff, Bryce Young and Drew Lock are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, C.J. Stroud, Matthew Stafford and Deshaun Watson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 QB projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Kenneth Walker III, Bijan Robinson, Ollie Gordon II, Ashton Jeanty and Audric Estime are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs, Chuba Hubbard, Javonte Williams, Rico Dowdle and Dylan Sampson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Kenneth Walker III, Chase Brown, Corey Kiner, Ashton Jeanty and Audric Estime are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 RB projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Bijan Robinson, Ollie Gordon II, Ashton Jeanty, Quinshon Judkins and Austin Ekeler are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Taylor, Blake Corum, Rico Dowdle and Dylan Sampson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Kenneth Walker III, Ashton Jeanty, Cam Skattebo, Corey Kiner and Austin Ekeler are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 RB projections, PPR scoring

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Half-Point-per-Reception League Running Backs

From the graph below notice that:

  • Bijan Robinson, Ollie Gordon II, Ashton Jeanty, Audric Estime and Austin Ekeler are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs, Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Taylor, Rico Dowdle and Dylan Sampson are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Kenneth Walker III, Chase Brown, Ashton Jeanty, Corey Kiner and Audric Estime are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 RB projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jameson Williams, Tetairoa McMillan, Jakobi Meyers, A.J. Brown and Deebo Samuel are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Tetairoa McMillan, Denzel Boston, Jakobi Meyers, Jordan Addison and KC Concepcion are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, Jameson Williams and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 WR projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Justin Jefferson, Jameson Williams, A.J. Brown, Deebo Samuel and Ryan Flournoy are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Parker Washington, D.J. Moore, Denzel Boston, Jakobi Meyers and Germie Bernard are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, Matthew Golden and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 WR projections, PPR scoring

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Half-Point-per-Reception League Wide Receivers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Justin Jefferson, Tetairoa McMillan, Jakobi Meyers, A.J. Brown and Deebo Samuel are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Tetairoa McMillan, Denzel Boston, Jakobi Meyers, Germie Bernard and Omar Cooper Jr. are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Justin Jefferson, George Pickens and A.J. Brown are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 WR projections, Half scoring

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Standard Scoring League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • George Kittle, Trey McBride, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren and Harold Fannin are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Travis Kelce, Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Darren Waller and Chigoziem Okonkwo are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, George Kittle, Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 TE projections, Standard scoring

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Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • Trey McBride, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Hunter Henry and Juwan Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Chigoziem Okonkwo, Darren Waller and Greg Dulcich are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, George Kittle, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 TE projections, PPR scoring

Click chart to enlarge

Half-Point-per-Reception League Tight Ends

From the graph below notice that:

  • Trey McBride, Isaiah Likely, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft and Juwan Johnson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Darren Waller, Chigoziem Okonkwo and Pat Freiermuth are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, George Kittle, Trey McBride, Dalton Kincaid, Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 TE projections, Half scoring

Click chart to enlarge

Standard Scoring League Kickers

From the graph below notice that:

  • Brandon McManus, Evan McPherson, Cam Little, Jason Myers and Chad Ryland are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections place much higher valuations than others. If you’re projected to lose and want a risky swing, these are players to consider.
  • Tyler Bass, Ka'imi Fairbairn, Chris Boswell, Charlie Smyth and Jason Sanders are the players with the smallest downside, suggesting less uncertainty on the low end. If you’re likely to win and want to reduce downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Spencer Shrader, Cam Little, Cameron Dicker, Chad Ryland and Eddy Pineiro are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you plan to start them, it’s worth checking why some projections are so low.
Week 10 K projections, Standard scoring

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Projection Table