Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 12

The graph below summarizes the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS’s Dave Richard, CBS’s Jamey Eisenberg, Fantasy Football Sharks, Fantasy Football Today, ESPN, Yahoo Sports, Picking Pros and Fox Sports.

Standard Scoring Leagues

Week 12 Wide Receivers

From this graph be sure to notice:

• Percy Harvin, Dwayne Bowe, James Jones, and Eddie Royal are the players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Denard Robinson, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, Michael Crabtree and Jarvis Landry are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, T.Y. Hilton, Calvin Johnson, Odell Beckham, and Percy Harvin are the players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

PPR Leagues

Week 12 Wide Receivers

From this graph be sure to notice:

• Mike Evans, Percy Harvin, Doug Baldwin, and Allen Robinson are the players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Reggie Wayne, Keenan Allen, Michael Crabtree, Denard Robinson and Jarvis Landry are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Calvin Johnson, Odell Beckham, Percy Harvin, and Allen Robinson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.