2018 Fantasy Football Projections
96We are updating our Shiny App and API with 2018 fantasy football projections. As always, the projections incorporate more sources than any other site, and have been the most accurate projections over the last 5 years. There is also a gold mining chart for ease of use and reference during a draft and the ability to compare ADP to projections to find undervalued players. You can access the Projections tool via the app here:
http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net
For instructions on how to use the app, see here. We also have a Draft Optimizer tool (see here). See our articles on how to win your Snake Draft and Auction Draft. We will be updating the projections as the season approaches with more sources of projections.
You can find more information about our API here.
Thanks! Good luck on another successful year!
How do i fix the disconnected for server message when trying to change league settings?
I’m having this same problem
Me too
Hi Mark,
Please try the trouble shooting tips here and provide the additional information requested if its still not working: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Thanks,
FFA Team
I have similar issues (also had similar issues last year). For me it isn’t a problem of me doing something and having a server disconnect, it is that the server seems to randomly disconnect. The biggest problem, which I don’t understand, is that none of the work is saved. But I’ll try to work through the troubleshooting.
So glad to have found your site last year – I am having a problem with this page though – it’s just showing blank page using Chrome and tried in Edge:
http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/
Hi Danny,
Site appears to be working fine, have you tried clearing your cache and reloading?
Index fund of ffb, it makes so much sense, thank you! I am sorry if I have just overlooked this / or if this is located someplace else but do you have the player statistic projections (yards, tds, etc.) to go along with your new fantasy point projections? I would love to be able to apply what you have found for the player statistics to my specific league scoring. Thanks for your help! Ryan
Yes, we have player statistics available in the app and have built it so you can customize based on your scoring settings
Quick Question: the App is showing last rankings updating on 7/8 do I need to click something to get it to update or will it update more often as we get closer to the season?
There is nothing you need to do, we have updated again this weekend!
How do i fix the disconnected for server message when trying to change league settings? I have tried multiple browsers and the troubleshooting tips you have linked to above.
Hi Billy,
Can you provide more detail on your error so we can take a look? When did you disconnect and what were you trying to do in the app?
Thanks,
FFA Team
When in the app I go to league settings and try and change league to espn and change teams to 12. When you go to click save the app tries to reload then the screen greys out and a small box in the left corner reads “disconnected from server” with a reload link below it. When you click reload it just refreshes to the original page with the original settings.
I am getting this same error. Turned off pop and ad blockers and cleared cache. Still getting that error.
This should be resolved now, please let us know if you’re having any other issues.
Thanks!
Simple but important feature request: currently, you can see when the overall projections were “last updated” on the tables tab. However, the projections use data from multiple sources. It would be extremely valuable to be able to see when the latest **change** was in the projections from a particular source.
UI/UX wise, this would look like adding a date on the “general settings” menu where the weights are for each data source (put a date to the right of the weights).
Implementation wise, after you pull the data, for each source, strip any metadata that will _always_ change (such as time/date of pull) in order to just get down to the projections. Then hash that data. Compare new hash to old hash for same data source. If the hashes differ, then the projections have “changed” for that source, and update date stamp in the “general settings” UI.
Use case: if, say, RTSports (or any other source) doesn’t change their projections for a month, I want to significantly lower their weights in the projections app.
Comparison: fantasypros lets you see date of update when you select/deselect sources in their projections.
Great suggestion, we will put this into our development pipeline
Found the site last night and strongly considering signing up for the paid membership.
I play DFS and am wondering how reliable the updates and lineup optimizer have been in the past. Are there plans to update projections after 11am EST inactives come down? Also when will week 1 projections be live, I’m assuming much closer to kickoff would make the most sense but not sure. Thanks.
Yes, we update scrapes throughout the week in-season. Historical accuracy info can be found here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2017/03/best-fantasy-football-projections-2017.html
First week projections will be available a few weeks before the first game, most of our sources have not yet published week 1 projections.
Okay so we can count on regular updates and updates after inactives are announced. Sounds good.
I’m wondering how much of a benefit there is to adding additional sources. For example if I’m using 4for4, rotogrinders, ESPN and CBS how much more accurate is adding 1 more source? Is there a point of diminishing returns or would it be beneficial to have, say, 50 sources as opposed to 45?
I’m glad I found this site for sure. I usually would rely on one source, or a sort of compilation of 3 sites but just rankings and not projections.
Would I see a benefit if I have 5 sources and simply average them? It seems so. Not sure how to apply this to gpp tournaments though. Am I just looking for the widest variance between similar projections? Or maybe rank players by their mean projection and then compare to their salary to see where the differences are? A lot to take in, especially for someone with 0 programming skill.
Having same disconnected from server issue mentioned above even after all of the trouble shooting. Is there any new work arounds for MAC?
We aren’t able to reproduce. Please provide the specific steps you’re taking, and please provide the info we request in order to be able to reproduce:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Hi Val, I draft this Saturday (not ideal, I know) and was wondering if projections will be updated by then. Thanks,
Projections were updated today(8/2)!
Thanks,
FFA Team
Meant to say thanks–got it in time for my draft!
Hello, unless I’m doing something wrong it does not seem to actually save my league scoring settings. They appear to save but when I come back the number of teams, roster size, and scoring settings are all back to default.
We aren’t able to reproduce. Please provide the specific steps you’re taking, making sure to follow the instructions here:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2017/08/introducing-saving-custom-settings.html
Are you clicking “Save Custom Settings” or just “Save Settings” on the league setting dialog? The latter does not create a custom setting and will revert to default upon return. You will need to save custom Settings in order to be able to recall those from the league setting menu.
If it’s still not working, please provide the info we request in order to be able to reproduce:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
It says I am disconnected from the servers, but my internet is okay. Are your servers having issues?
Could you provide the info requested here so we can reproduce?:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Thanks!
Hi, I am having a hard time deducing how the “Drop-off” number is calculated within the app. I am probably overlooking something obvious, but would you mind posting the formula?
Drop off in projected points for the next 2 best players at the same position (you can hover over each stat for the description/calculation)
So, if I take the Aug. 2nd projections for RB and using your default settings, we have Gurley at #1 with 278.54 and two places down at #3 we have Johnson with 256.64. The difference is 21.9 points. The app indicates 19.28. Am I missing something?
Dropoff is defined here:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2013/09/win-your-fantasy-football-snake-draft.html
It includes the next *two* players at the same position in the calculation. Not just one player two places down.
Got it. Thanks Isaac!
Is there a regular schedule for data updates? I have a draft tomorrow night and as of right now the data is over a week old. Thanks!
Hi, when are you expecting to publish updated projections? Thanks!
Anthony Johnson (WR-IND) appears twice in the table, with same numbers, but without ADP and ADP diff.
Hi Guys, are updated projections coming? Lots of drafts this weekend!
I was looking for players with high VOR and point ceilings versus their averages and noticed that some values are outside the floor and ceiling. Here are a couple examples.
LeSean McCoy: VOR 86.49, Floor VOR 61.09, Ceiling VOR 84.07
Jarvis Landry: 48.75, Floor 36.30, Ceiling 40.34
That should not be possible, right?
It looks like you are looking at the Floor VOR and Ceiling VOR. These are *not* the Floor and Ceiling of VOR. They are the VOR based on Floor and the VOR based on Ceiling, respectively (rather than the default VOR based on points). In other words, you are looking at VOR values, not Floor/Ceiling values. There is no reason to expect a player’s Floor VOR will be lower than their Ceiling VOR. If you are interested in the player’s floor and ceiling, se the “Floor” and “Ceiling” variables (not the “Floor VOR” and “Ceiling VOR” variables).
Hope that helps!
When I try to switch to Week 1 for 2018 in the General Settings, I get this following message in red: Error: An error has occurred. Check your logs or contact the app author for clarification. Is that just because the data for week 1 isn’t available yet? Thanks! Love the apps.
That’s right, Week 1 data is not available yet. We are targeting the end of next week for this update.
Thanks!
Do the weighted values from each site ever change from year to year due to improved accuracy with projections? Fantasy football projections are an ongoing science and art, surely some of the sites improve their methods?
Also, I noticed that player’s risk changes with the weekly updates, however, this week’s risks dropped below the mean quite a bit and do not have as much variation as I have previously seen. How is that explained?
Val or Isaac, are either of you able to speak to this question? Accuracy is not static from year to year, so the weights should be going up or down based off site improvements in projection accuracy or vice versa via declines.
For example, at FantasyPros.com you can see how an experts draft projections rank compared to their season end finish. Also, some weeks one experts are nearly perfect with their projections, while other weeks they completely miss.
We discuss historical accuracy and weighting here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2017/03/best-fantasy-football-projections-2017.html
Where can I find when the latest projections were updated?
Still receiving a “disconnected from server” error in both chrome and Safari on Mac OS X
Adjusting weights in general settings seems to do nothing. I changed several weights in different manners, and the projection for Adrian Peterson never changed. Marqise Lee, despite his busted ACL that has been accounted for on some sites, still has a substantial projection.
There needs to be a way to isolate projection sources that are known-bad for certain players and the option to weight them down to remove those sources from the projections, but nothing like that seems to be implemented or working. FFA projections are suffering from getting stale as the preseason goes into the busiest draft weekend of the year.
Which sources have updated their projections for injured players? We can take a look but there is no systematic way to account for “known-bad for certain players”.
That’s the point, I can’t determine which ones had not updated using your interface. Marqise Lee had a non-zero projection, when clearly he is done for the season. Which sites had not updated? I tried adjusting the weights, but that had NO EFFECT AT ALL on projections. Same for other trending-up players, like Adrian Peterson. Adjusting weights had no effect on his projections. I’m saying weights are broken.
Testcase: load projections app, go to “Table” tab for results. Then open general settings, adjust weights to other numbers between 0-1. Click submit. Wait. Look at player again, no change in projections. Chrome/Win10
If you’re trying to see an individual projection you need to change average to “Regular” in the General Settings and select that individual source.
Receiving a “disconnected from the server” message in Chrome and Edge. Windows 10.
Please provide the additional information requested here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Great stuff as always! When do you plan on having the 2018 Week 1 projections up?
Thanks Thom, shooting for the end of this week!
Currently unable to download projections – is this a temporary issue?
Agreed! I keep receiving this message; Error: An error has occurred. Check your logs or contact the app author for clarification.
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
I too am getting this error, and the gold mining charts are blank.
“An error has occurred. Check your logs or contact the app author for clarification.”
This is happening to me too. Bad weekend for this 🙁
Make sure you set the general settings to Season (or Week 0); it’s defaulting to week 1, which I’m don’t appear to be up yet
Even with the settings set to Season, the download button is not able to be clicked.
It still isn’t working for me, even when changing to Season.
Inability to download not linked recent change to week 1 projections as default setting, although changing to season projections does bring back the gold mining charts…
It’s because Week 1 projections are now in the app, and the seasonal projections are now being treated as “historical projections”, which requires an FFA Insider subscription to download. We’re looking into fixing it so it won’t treat them as “historical projections” until after the season starts, but I’m not sure when it will be fixed. In the meantime, if you want to download the projections, you can with an FFA Insider subscription.
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
I’m getting this error as well
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
I’m also getting this error.
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
Also getting this error. Any help?
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
Obviously something wonky is going on with the blog responses, yesterday my comments weren’t showing up. Now a bajillion of them are… Sorry.
So you are saying that the projections are no longer free? You guys provide a great service, but this seems like a little bit of an underhanded way to force people to pay
Comments are moderated. That’s why they just showed up. Sorry for the confusion.
Current projections are still free to view–and’we’re working to make it so they’re also free to download. It has always been the case that only insiders can download “historical projections”. The issue is that the app is *mistakenly* treating current seasonal projections as “historical” projections because we have more recent projections in the app now (i.e., Week 1 projections). This is a mistake (i.e., bug)—we are not trying to “underhandedly force” anyone to pay for anything. It is a *bug* and we are looking into fixing it. To be clear, you can still access seasonal projections for free. It’s just that downloading them is in a bug-state for non Insider users. We apologize and hope that clarifies.
We should have a fix up by tomorrow morning to allow free users to download the current seasonal projections.
Cheers!
-Isaac
I am also not able to download.
I also wasn’t able to post here for awhile either.
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
I am getting the same error
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
Same for me and my draft is tomorrow afternoon. Currently praying to the football analytics gods it starts working soon!
We need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors. If you are using the Lineup Optimizer, make sure to access it directly:
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/?app=lineupoptimizer
Another workaround may be to change the average type to something else and then back to weighted.
When I update projections to “season” in the general settings rather than the default “Week 1”, the download option doesn’t seem to be available.
It’s because Week 1 projections are now in the app, and the seasonal projections are now being treated as “historical projections”, which requires an FFA Insider subscription to download. We’re looking into fixing it so it won’t treat them as “historical projections” until after the season starts, but I’m not sure when it will be fixed. In the meantime, if you want to download the projections, you can with an FFA Insider subscription.
Is the tabular form of the season-total projections still available? I only see Week 1 projections on the app.
Yes, you have to change the data to seasonal (see “General Settings”).
Have free membership… Not able to download projections…. draft tomorrow this is a huge bummer
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2018/07/2018-fantasy-football-projections.html#comment-23325
https://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/ – Any idea why I am getting a blank page in my browser when I try to use the app?
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#appNotLoading
is there an archive of season projections that is available for 2018?
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2018/07/2018-fantasy-football-projections.html#comment-23323
Will there be any more updates to the full season projections? I have obviously bumped up Breida/Morris on my cheat sheet, but it would be nice to have something quantitative.
Just became an FFA Insider, thanks for all you guys do. Is there a way to get the season-long predictions updated for my draft tomorrow, particularly for guys like Alfred Morris? The page says these were last updated on 8/31/2018 07:40 AM, while the week 1 projections show as updated this morning. Thanks again!
I know you can’t cater to every user, but I also have a draft this evening and would love to see a season-long projections update today. Is there any plan for this to happen? You guys did such an excellent job updating daily for the last bit of August that it would be a shame to have to draft with 5-day-old and pre-major injury data.