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Fantasy Football Analytics

Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 9

4
  • by Michael Griebe
  • in Gold Mining · Projections · R · Weekly
  • — 4 Nov, 2015

Welcome to week 9. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article was collected on 11/03/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Eddie Lacy, Giovani Bernard, Carlos Hyde, C.J. Spiller and KaDeem Carey are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Frank Gore, Duke Johnson, Matt Jones, Tre Mason and KaDeem Carey are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Melvin Gordon, Carlos Hyde, C.J. Anderson, Pierre Thomas and Antone Smith are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

    plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-2

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Eddie Lacy, C.J. Spiller, Carlos Hyde, Pierre Thomas and Antone Smith are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Latavius Murray, Duke Johnson, Matt Jones, Christine Michael and Mike Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, C.J. Spiller, C.J. Anderson, Carlos Hyde, Pierre Thomas and Bilal Powell are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-3

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Odell Beckham, Randall Cobb, Malcom Floyd, Mike Wallace and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Alshon Jeffery, James Jones, Willie Snead, Tavon Austin and Jeremy Kerley are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Vincent Jackson, DeSean Jackson, Leonard Hankerson, Eddie Royal and Victor Cruz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-4

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Odell Beckham, Malcom Floyd, Mike Wallace, Marques Colston and Roddy White are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
    • Odell Beckham, Alshon Jeffery, Amari Cooper, Jordan Matthews and Tavon Austin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
    • On the other hand, Brandon Marshall, Vincent Jackson, Eddie Royal, Harry Douglas and Victor Cruz are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-5

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— Michael Griebe

I'm an Economist, R Coder, Entrepreneur, Web-Dabbler, and Fantasy Football Enthusiast.

4 Comments

  1. Marc says:
    November 5, 2015 at 4:28 pm

    I went to the projections app and it shows that D. Bell is the top one. He was injured last week and is out for the season. The site also said it was updated on 11/4/2015. Is something wrong?

    http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/projections

    Reply
    • Isaac Petersen says:
      November 5, 2015 at 10:20 pm

      We don’t update seasonal projections after the start of the season. We only update weekly projections after the season starts.

      Reply
  2. Jack says:
    November 6, 2015 at 10:25 am

    Is there anyway to download weekly projections?

    Reply
    • Isaac Petersen says:
      November 6, 2015 at 9:40 pm

      https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2015/10/running-back-and-wide-receiver-gold-mining-week-8.html#comment-6580

      Reply

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