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Fantasy Football Analytics

Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 10

4
  • by Michael Griebe
  • in Gold Mining · Projections · R · Weekly
  • — 11 Nov, 2015

Welcome to week 10. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article was collected on 11/10/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jonathan Stewart, Eddie Lacy, Ronnie Hillman, C.J. Spiller and Alfred Morris are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Lamar Miller, Alfred Morris, Javorius Allen, Mike Tolbert and Andre Williams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Todd Gurley, DeAngelo Williams, C.J. Anderson, Matt Jones and James White are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

    plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-2

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Jonathan Stewart, Eddie Lacy, Charcandrick West, C.J. Spiller and Alfred Morris are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Doug Martin, T.J. Yeldon, Isaiah Crowell, Alfred Morris and Mike Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, DeAngelo Williams, C.J. Anderson, Matt Jones, James White and Bilal Powell are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-3

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Dez Bryant, Kamar Aiken, Mike Wallace, Marques Colston and Doug Baldwin are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Alshon Jeffery, Mike Evans, Stefon Diggs, DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Emmanuel Sanders, Vincent Jackson, Kamar Aiken, Eddie Royal and Kendall Wright are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-4

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

  • Antonio Brown, Kamar Aiken, Marques Colston, Mike Wallace and Doug Baldwin are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
    • Alshon Jeffery, Jeremy Maclin, Pierre Garcon, Danny Amendola and Terrance Williams are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
    • On the other hand, DeAndre Hopkins, Vincent Jackson, Kamar Aiken, Eddie Royal and Kendall Wright are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-5

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— Michael Griebe

I'm an Economist, R Coder, Entrepreneur, Web-Dabbler, and Fantasy Football Enthusiast.

4 Comments

  1. desire.willpower says:
    November 12, 2015 at 2:21 pm

    No Dorial Green Beckham?

    Reply
    • Isaac Petersen says:
      November 12, 2015 at 4:01 pm

      We do have Dorial Green Beckham in our projections for this week:
      http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/projections

      Reply
  2. Mark Sherrod says:
    November 13, 2015 at 7:37 pm

    Im still having some trouble reading the graphs so maybe you could help me out? I’ve tried reading into this whole website for a while now and can’t figure it out.

    I have Ronnie Hilman, Antonio Andrews and Jeremy Langford, what two RB should I start, based off the graphs alone….

    I would greatly appreciate any help, if possible

    Reply
    • Isaac Petersen says:
      November 15, 2015 at 9:29 am

      Use our projections app to find weekly projections and compare those players:
      http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/projections

      Focus on points, floor, or ceiling, depending on your goals.

      Reply

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