2017 Fantasy Football Projections
176We are releasing our 2017 fantasy football projections in a Shiny webapp using R. The app allows you to calculate custom rankings/projections for your league based on your league settings. The projections incorporate more sources of projections than any other site, and have been the most accurate projections over the last 5 years. New features of the app this season include the ability to view additional variables (including “per game” projections). You can access the Projections tool here:
http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net
For instructions how to use the app, see here. We also have a Draft Optimizer tool (see here). See our articles on how to win your Snake Draft and Auction Draft. We will be updating the projections as the season approaches with more sources of projections. Feel free to add suggestions in the comments!
The download button doesn’t seem to be working. Is this an error or a feature to be added later?
Hi Gus,
This has been fixed now.
Still not fixed unfortunately.
I’m having trouble getting onto the site.
Just meaning that when I click on the link above:
http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/
the page just sits infinitely loading.
It’s working now, strangely – if someone on this site did something to help that happen, thank you!
Not a problem, thanks for your follow-up!
Looking really excellent, guys! I love it! Sleeker than the last iteration for sure. A couple suggestions:
1. On the “Fumbles” tab for scoring, I think you want to clarify that you’re talking about “Fumbles Lost” in the specific box. Presently it just says fumbles. Most projections sites just project fumbles lost, but PFF/Yahoo projects both, and most platforms (such as MFL) allows different points for both. Similarly, on the “Returns” tab, can you clarify if you’re referring to special teams returns (kickoff/punt/FG), defensive returns (fumble & INT), or both?
2. I was regularly getting the “Disconnected from Server” message (every 5 minutes or so), and although the word “Reload” was there, it was not clickable as a link for me, so I just had to Refresh. After I Refreshed the page, it discarded my Scoring Settings entirely, even the ones that had already been saved. So this rendered the scoring setting customization almost useless.
3. I’m confused what scoring system the app is using at any given time (I would check myself, but like Gus, the Download button is not a clickable link for me). Is it the scoring system I’ve entered into “Scoring”, or is the one that is selected in general league settings? It seems that there’s no way to select “Custom scoring system” or something like that on the League Settings page. I believe you guys were aiming to be able for us to create “Scoring System Profiles” or “League Profiles” that we could pull up at will, but I don’t see the ability to save two different league setups or scoring systems. Please let me know!
You should be able to download now! We will look into issues 1 & 2, thanks.
Could not get Download button to work in multiple browsers and operating systems.
Should be up and running now!
I have not received a verification e-mail yet…
Hi Bral,
Just sent you a reset email, let us know if that doesn’t work (sales@fantasyfootballanalytics.net).
Thanks!
Could not get Download button or Settings Options to work in multiple browsers and operating systems. It also asked me to “Verify e-mail before logging in”. Is this different than signing in and is there some type of verification e-mail sent that I have to respond to? Thanks as always for your great work!!!
This has been fixed now!
Still seem to be having issues using google chrome incognito… Still getting a message which now reads ” Please verify your email before signing in”. I get this after I sign in???
To further comply with your FAQ I have a 64 bit Intel i-5 using Windows 10 Home edition. I used to get a confirmation that I was logged in which I don’t get now…
… I just see the comment in my 2:57 remarks. If I place a cursor over the download sign after logging in I get a banned circle sign and the highlighted message tells me please log in to use this feature. I can’t toggle the download button. If I pull down the settings tab I get the same banned circle sign without a highlighted message. If I click on any of the settings options the ap resets. When it comes back it gives me the original message sometimes, sometimes in the place of “Please verify your email before signing in” I get
“You are using a restricted version of the Apps. Log in to enable features”.
Also cleared the browsing data including the cashed info and cookies…
Hi Bral,
Have you received the verification email?
I may be missing something, but it seems that when you change the scoring settings, the projections don’t change at all (trying to adjust to ppr scoring). Is there an ‘update” or ‘refresh’ button that I’m not seeing?
Thanks
I’ve noticed this as well. Thanks for all of your hard work.
New look is fantastic. Two items…
1.) When I look at the density chart, I see three sources. I’m guessing more are being added at a later date?
2.) It looks like all auction values are coming in at $1. I’m guessing this might be due to #1, but wanted to see if this is from anything else?
Thanks so much!
AAV look low. Is this because of a setting that needs to be changed? Checking ESPN, looks like D. Johnson is getting closer to $64, not $40
My league’s scoring system does not save???
Was a problem all last year too!
We have just added this feature, go under “Create Custom Settings” to save league settings
Any reason why Leonard Fournette doesn’t get a projection?
Hi Gus,
MFL has not yet assigned him a player ID, we will be looking for this update going forward.
Do you know when the data will be updated? It’s been a few weeks and Fournette has an ID.
Is anyone having trouble with the app dropping off the server? Same problem as stated above settings are not being saved. Seems to be very unstable. Have never had a problem with the app in previous years.
Hi Mark,
Can you provide us some more detail on which app you were on/you were doing when you were disconnected as well as some more detail on your OS/browser so we can try to reproduce the error?
Using this link http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net and using chrome Version 59.0.3071.86 (Official Build) (64-bit)
Few questions/issues:
1) Would it be possible to save settings to your account so that I don’t have to reenter everything every time?
2) I can’t save my league settings. It won’t even let me click the save button. Also the kicker slot for ‘starters by position’ is wonky and wont let me set a number. my settings: weighted avg using yahoo adp, imputing, no IDP, 12 teams, yahoo scoring, etc on chrome browser.
3) when i adjust the scoring settings the VOR values dont change at all. maybe because it’s not saving properly but im not sure.
#1 a thousand times yes!
Yes! I second #1 as well!
Thanks, we’re working on it.
Anyone else getting “Disconnected from the Server” message every minute or so?
Hi Mike,
Can you provide us some more detail on which app you were on/you were doing when you were disconnected as well as some more detail on your OS/browser so we can try to reproduce the error?
I’m getting it after following the http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net link. I’m using Firefox 53.0.3. Thx for yourattention
This site is great. I, too, am getting the error, however. Does anyone know of a fix? I’ve used Chrome, Firefox and my Droid based phone. Thanks!
I can’t even load http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/ or http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/projections with chrome or firefox. Is there a recommended browser?
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#appNotLoading
It would be great if you could add in the Download CSV a separate column for “MFL position” that you just scrape from MFL, since I know a lot of us use that platform. In particular, this would help for sorting out DT’s from DE’s (which you just list together as DL).
This would also help in a big way for separating S from CB (which you list together as DB). Is this doable? It seems like it would also help with the app itself, making smaller position groups if desired.
I’m also having the same disconnected from server issue. I am using google chrome Version 59.0.3071.86 (Official Build) (64-bit). Usually happens after updating all of the scores and if I let the webpage sit for a few minutes.
The apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net is not working with Google Chrome.
Hi Doug,
Can you provide more detail on the error you’re seeing?
I am getting the same problem with the banned circle when I hover above the settings tab. I sign in but it says I need to verify which has already been done. Any suggestions. I have tried Firefox, Chrome and internet explorer. Thanks for any help or should I just start a whole new account?
What is the email associated with you account? We can sent a reset.
I will send privately. Thanks
Sorry to ask again but the link to reset my account timed out. Would tou please resend to the email address. Thanks
My incredibly stupid question for July. The data page indicates “last updated 6/11.” Does that mean that the data hasn’t been scraped since then and that these projection figures are three weeks old?
Hi Bob, that’s correct. We will be updating soon.
Leonard Fournette and Robert Kelley are missing from the projections
Hey guys
Leonard Fournette still isn’t included. Any update?
Hi Matthew, we are aware of this issue and will be updating soon.
Getting the following error when I try to load the tool:
FB”DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7”
Table blanks out and says it is disconnected from the server. Cannot edit any league or scoring settings.
Any ongoing maintenance or expectation for when the snake draft optimizer will be back up & running? FFB research season is upon us and this is my favorite resource 🙂
-Trey
Hello the projections app seems to be buggy. When i input data it constantly resets very frustrating, not sure if you guys were aware.
Every time I try to go to the Projections app, I get an error message saying:
“An embedded page at ffashiny.shinyapps.io says:
DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7”
I’ve been accessing the page in Chrome v.59.0.3071.115(64-bit) using Incognito mode. I’ve followed the guidance at the datatables.net address to no avail.
Keep getting disconnected from the server and this error:
DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7
Chrome and Firefox. What’s up?
Hey, just made an account and when i sign into the snake draft optimizer, i get a data table warning ajax error and then disconnect from the server, tried using chrome, fire fox, and my phone, thanks,
I am getting:
“DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7”
When trying to load the app page. Using FF 54.0.1 (64-bit) on Mac OS 10.11.6.
The Ajax error is no longer occurring and I am able to render the projections. Thanks guys! (BTW – I have both ‘Notify me…’ boxes checked when I post comments yet I am not receiving any emails. Not sure if anyone else is experiencing this?)
I’m also having the issue where I’m disconnected from the server every time I log in. I’ve used Safari, Chrome, & Firefox and received the same error message every time.
“DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7“
Getting Disconnected from the Server message within 30 seconds of opening the page. Have tried on the latest versions of chrome, microsoft edge, internet explorer, and firefox
Whenever I try to load the projections, the page freezes and I receive a message saying “Disconnected from the servers.” Any help with viewing the projections?
Upon an attempt to sign in from the projections page I first get a “disconnected from the server” message with a link option to “reload”. After clicking the reload link the following error message appears and in order to sign out I have to clear my cookies.
An embedded page at ffashiny.shinyapps.io says:
DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7
Having issues with the projections. Every time I am logged in & go to the projections app, it disconnects me from the server right after it says it is updating. Also gives a warning about DataTables. Anyone else with same issue?
Keeping getting error and says not connected to database when trying to use projections
Hello, can you provide additional information requested here:https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors to help us with this potential error
The app loads just fine when I am not signed in, but when I sign in, it says “Disconnected from the server”. When I click reload, I get the following error message: DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7
Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!
Having trouble with the site this year. When I go to the Projections Tool, the page appears, immediately begins “updating projections”, and then I get the error message ’embedded page says an Ajax error has occurred’: “DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7“, and I am disconnected from the server.
This happens with both Chrome (Version 59.0.3071.115 (Official Build) (32-bit)) and Explorer. Can you help? Thanks!
I have noticed that when you change the weights of the sources it does not change the data output, just making you aware of that bug.
Hello, can you provide additional requested here:https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors to help us with this potential bug
Having issues with the app. Page starts loading then after about 20 seconds errors out and get disconnected from server. Error says “DataTables warning: table id=DataTables_Table_1 – Ajax error. For more information about this error, please see http://datatables.net/tn/7“. I’ve tried using Google Chrome and Firefox on Windows 8.1 64 bit.
We are aware of this error and are currently looking into a solution, thanks for bringing it to our attention!
Using custom rankings, vorHigh and vorLow seem off; vorLow is often above vorHigh, and sometimes actual vor is outside of the range between low/high
Hi Darren. The vorLow and vorHigh numbers are value over replacement based on the players projected floor and ceiling. There is not necessarily a requirement that vorLow should be less than vorHigh. It is just an indication that there is fewer points between the replacement and the player when using the ceiling than using the floor.
Interesting. Thanks!
Will projections downloaded today still be reliable for a draft between preseason game 4 and week 1?
Put another way, are the underlying sources of data typically subject to continuous updates throughout the summer, and if so, do such updates tend to be significant enough to materially alter today’s consensus projections?
Hi Mike. We will update the projections throughout the preseseason up to the start of the season. The frequency of the updates will increase as we get closer.
Love the projections/VOR’s/ everything! It’s been instrumental in my back-to-back runner-up finishes (not winning at the draft, but at least I’m far from losing).
Quick observation, but the DST rankings appear (at least when I looked) to be jumbled due to the “projected points” and “ceiling” columns having the values flip-flopped for a majority of them. I’m s devout streamer when it comes to DST, but still thought it would be important to point out.
Which scoring settings are you using, and which DSTs appear to have projected points and ceiling flip-flopped?
AAV appears broken when I change to .5 PPT scoring; the max value becomes 4.7. ADP is also showing up blank. Are these issues due to a lack of data this early in the season?
I also have this problem. There is a model bust when you change value for receptions. For instance, David Johnson’s value goes from $68 to $2. Hopefully they can fix that!
It appears that changing the points per reception setting affects AAV and ADP. AAV drops significantly with any change. I’ve played around with other scoring settings and only receptions seems to have this affect.
Hi Darren, thanks for pointing this out we will take a look!
Can you the snake draft optimizer if your league doesnt factor costs for any of the players?
Issac,
I noticed you if the ability to limit yourself to different columns in the projection tool, I think that is great. My question is about the day of draft and if you had to limit yourself to only 3-5 columns based upon what the most important ones were, what would they be? Also, when picking your starting lineup, do you ever set a Max Risk tolerance? If so, what is it?
Thanks,
Mark
Why are kickers and defenses ranked so highly? Do the analytics really support taking a kicker in the 5th round?
Hi guys, loved this app when I discovered it last year. Must say it seems a little slower this year but still appreciate this resource nonetheless! In the Lineup Optimizer, is there something wrong with the calculation of player Costs? The high and low rank cost multipliers don’t seem to be working correctly, at least for me, as even the highest ranked players have a Cost that is lower than their AAV.
Thanks for letting us know, we’ll look into it. We’re working on making it faster this season!
Help Isaac! I would love your advice! I am concerned about the start up dynasty auction I’ve got coming up. I’m confident few if any of the other 11 owners use FFAnalytics for projections and AAV. The scoring is custom (QBs: 6pts/TD | WR/RBs are .5 PPR while TEs are 1 PPR) The roster size is 26 and the 9 starting positions are as follows : QB:1, RB: 2, WR: 3, TE: 1, FLX (RB,WR,TE): 2, NO Kickers or Def/ST). The problem I think I will face is that everyone will be using an AAV that puts, say, David Johnson at ~$75. When I punch in the custom scoring into FFA, his AAV is at $34. Thats QUITE a big difference! What would you advise here?
Those low AAVs are likely coming from MyFantasyLeague:
http://www03.myfantasyleague.com/2017/aav?COUNT=32&POS=*&CUTOFF=5&IS_PPR=1&IS_KEEPER=0&TIME=
We’re working on allowing custom costs. In the meantime, I’d suggesting finding other sources of AAV that more closely reflect the player’s cost (and changing the AAV source in the app to reflect those sources).
I attempted to do what you suggested by moving the AAV score from AVG to either ESPN or Yahoo. This did not work. No matter how many times I selected ESPN, then saved, when I went back to the “Auction Settings” window again, the AAV was still set to AVG.
Why are kickers, quarterbacks, and defenses ranked so highly? Most conventional wisdom supports taking them in the later rounds. I’m super curious about whether this is a sort of fluke in the rankings, or if these positions are actually undervalued.
I found that as well. How are you setting your baseline, because that can greatly impact the overall relative value?
Hi Oliver, you can change the VOR baseline for each position. You can learn more about draft strategy using these values here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2013/04/win-your-snake-draft-calculating-value.html
Where did Fantasy Sharks go for stats source?
Any updates on when the custom scoring system and memory feature will be available?
Hi there. Love the site!
When I change the AAV to be Yahoo values, the app simply returns a blank column. Any idea what I’m doing wrong?
Does the draft optimization app work better if we sign up for the FFA insider service?
Also, the app doesn’t seem to be able to save any custom settings. I’ve told it several times that I’m in a two QB league, and each time when it loads the optimized starting lineup there’s only one QB position listed.
Hi how do I calculate VOR? for my league?
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2013/04/win-your-snake-draft-calculating-value.html
Last year, the raw download included a column for MFL Player ID. Can you add this column in for this year’s projections?
I registered and entered my credentials in the “Sign In” dialog box, yet I am unable to click submit (tried both the mouse and the keyboard using “shift” to select).
Can you advise? Thanks!
Hi Dan, try clearing your cache and logging in again.
On the lineup optimizer, changing the scoring settings to add 1 pt for receptions reduces all the auction values too far. The recommended lineup I get is Aaron Rodgers, David Johnson, LeVeon Bell, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Odell Beckham, Rob Gronkowski, Justin Tucker, and the Cardinals, with $66 left over for starters.
Probably a known issue, but when using ESPN AAV, Rob Kelley and Ty Montgomery both have blank values listed. Likely since on ESPN, Rob Kelley is ROBERT Kelley and Ty Montgomery probably still has a RB/WR tag or something similar. Just wanted to point out a potentially data quality issue. Thanks again for everything you do no this site.
[Sorry, posted this in the wrong article previously]
Hi Isaac, the projection tool doesn’t save my league and scoring settings beyond the session in which I’m using it – e.g. I have to reconfigure the tool everytime I login. Is this by design or a bug? For troubleshooting purposes: yes, I am logged in. Yes I’ve tried logging out and logging back in. Yes, I’m a paid subscriber.
Hi,
Is there any information on the best draft position for a 10 team league in terms of win percentage, or any recommended position for this specific year? Thanks
Really appreciate your work on this site! The rankings went a little squirrely today. It appears that the overall points got multiplied somehow, and injured or suspended players have been assigned huge values.
Noticed the same thing. It looks like the TD numbers are super inflated for some reason. Joe Flacco is going to throw for 600TDs this year and then run in another 9 >.<
Was just wondering the same thing. Hoping it is due to one or more of the sources being wonky, but definitely needs some tending to.
So i’ll ask the question: do we pick up McFadden? Where does this put him in the projections, risk, ceiling?
I’m having trouble opening the app. I’m using chrome and have no ad blockers. When i click on the link, my screen turns blank.
Please try these and provide us with the requested info so we can try to reproduce:
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Hi guys, have tried to open the lineup optimizer on three different computers (2 macs, 1 PC), on google chrome, explorer and firefox, and it’s not working at all. I get the grey disconnected screen almost immediately after opening the apps. I assume they are completely down?
Same here LW. Also, anytime I try to input 1 point per reception, all dollar values go to $1.00. Any fix for this? Love this site and used it for the last couple years. Any fixes coming soon?
Seems to be back up and running now! However, I can’t seem to edit or delete my saved custom league settings from the lineup optimizer. Is this functionality available?
Works for me. We’d need more info to reproduce: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
I think you guys are doing a great job on this site – used it last year with an old windows pc. unfortunately it is not working at all on my new MacBook Pro – any advice?
Something looks a bit off with Rams DST
They are missing values and are projected to give up the second fewest points. Over 100 fewer than other sites are projecting.
Hi guys, on the Lineup Optimizer, how do I place players in “Other Players Drafted”? Currently, every time I pick a certain player, that player will eventually end up under “Players You Drafted”. There is no option to move them into the “Other Players Drafted” section. Obviously this would limit ability to use the tool during a live draft (which I am very keen to do!).
Many thanks for all the work.
Click the player’s name, type in the value, and select “Pick”.
Hi all. In looking through the 2017 NFL AAVs, I noticed NFL.com also has a different set of values, “Bid Amount,” listed in the NFL draft rooms that does not vary by scoring format, total teams, auction pool, or any other league variables. These values seem heavily inflated in several cases when compared to the NFL AAVs populated in the FFA projections and found elsewhere on NFL.com.
Does anyone have any insight into what these “Bid Amount” values are and why they are listed? Because these values are displayed in the draft rooms, and not the NFL AAVs, the concern is that these inflated numbers will skew bidding behavior. Which numbers should be used when considering player cost/optimization, the AAVs or the “Bid Amounts”?
Thanks in advance for any thoughts from the development team or any other users who have noticed these.
How are you getting IDP projections from Yahoo? I don’t see any on Yahoo itself. Also, it appears that the scrape might be confused….when I click “Download” for DLs, it’s showing Solo Tackle numbers in the Assist column and vice versa; I think this needs fixing. Also, these are now Rotowire projections and not PFF, correct?
Why aren’t you including numberfire in your projections this year?
Having lots of issues with the interface on the new projections app. (The issues show up for me w/ Safari and Chrome on OSX, and Chrome on iOS.)
For one thing, the Create/Save Custom Settings options are always greyed out and non-functional; sometimes, the Delete Custom Settings option is enabled (even though the other two are still disbaled, but whether it is or it isn’t, my settings are never actually saved.
Also, the Select Columns settings don’t persist if I do *anything* in the app. e.g. if I add the Bye Week and Tier columns, so that I can keep those in mind as I’m going through a snake draft, and remove the AAV column because I’m doing a snake draft where it is irrelevant, and then I select any players to exclude because they’ve been drafted, the column settings immediately revert back to the defaults.
The third issue is more easily worked around: if there are multiple positions listed in the Positions filter, and you delete two of them at once (or in rapid succession, before the app has a chance to finish updating to reflect the first deletion) then the app deletes the first one, but then gets stuck in a loop where it keeps deleting an restoring the second one, and there is no way to break out of that loop short of just closing the window w/ the app in it.
Here is a quick screencast showing all three issues. https://screencast.com/t/y6OcGWwNuwO
Could you check the Rams and the Chargers? The players seem to be correct but the defense and bye weeks seem to switched.
When I open the projections app, Tyler Lockett is projected to score 102.32 points based on your general scoring system. Once I change to 1 point per reception (and nothing else), he jumps to 8,649 projected points. Something screwy going on when I try to change the scoring system
I am having the same issue. If I change anything in league settings or scoring settings all the data is messed up
There was an issue with a portion of the data scrape, this has been fixed now!
Same thing is going on with me.
Fixed now.
None of the apps load for me? I got it to load once but then it said disconnected from server and then it couldn’t load again. I am using google chrome Version 60.0.3112.101 (Official Build) (64-bit) and also tried with firefox with the same results. I love your app and used it last year to win a league. Would love to use it this year as well but it just won’t load 🙁
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#appNotLoading
What a fantastic site! Thanks for all the great work.
Problem: When I use the Lineup Optimizer, the defensive player flex positions seem to override the other flex positions in the starting lineup. I set the league settings for 1 WR/RB/TE and 2 DL/LB/DB, but the output from the optimizer gives me 0 offensive flex players and 3 defensive flex players.
I am having the same issue as Val. The app was working a week ago, but now it either is not loading at all or it says loading error. I have tried on multiple devices and also gone through the troubleshooting exercise, any ideas?
I meant to say I am having the same issue as Jesse, my apologies.
The projections still seem to be a little off once you change any setting. It is not crazy off like yesterday but if you only change the ADP from average to ESPN, Jordan Howard and Devonta Freeman now have a higher VOR than Antonio Brown.
Hi Michael, this is definitely possible due to position scarcity. Please take a look at how VOR is calculated here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2013/04/win-your-snake-draft-calculating-value.html
I have not been able to download the Raw Projections today. In Chrome, it says “dlRawProj Failed – Server problem.” In IE, it says “This error (HTTP 500 Internal Server Error) means that the website you are visiting had a server problem which prevented the webpage from displaying.” I am able to download the Custom Rankings file though.
VOR and QB’s too early.
I am worried a bit on how the app is showing me to take Aaron Rodgers in the first round. I will have the 3rd pick in Keeper League. I have the overall 5th pick, but two teams in front of me are keeping a player as their 1st pick. I am keeping David Johnson, Brandin Cooks and Terrelle Pryor. I entered in my league settings and scoring and at my pick its telling me to go with Mr. Rodgers… it seems early. I do however think he won’t be there 7 picks later when I have my second pick. I lean more towards a guy like Evans @ WR or a staring RB then going back to the QB late for a Mariota or Cousins…. thoughts
Hey Chad, along with VOR there are some other factors to consider when drafting such as far the predictability of point variation by position. You can read more about that here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/2013/07/expected-points-by-position-rank-in-fantasy-football.html
Here is the specific advice on drafting QBs early:
1. Spend your first picks on RBs, WRs, and TEs (their variations in fantasy points are fairly predictable, and their values decrease exponentially after the best ones are off the board).
2. After drafting RBs, WRs, and TEs, draft a QB. QBs’ variations in fantasy points are fairly predictable, and their values don’t decrease as fast as RBs, WRs, and TEs, so you can still get a fairly solid QB after the top QBs are off the board.
Just discovered this site, and it’s kind of over my head, but I am intrigued with it. I am not looking to delve deeply into every statistical category, but I do like the fact that you combine a ton of uncommon factors, that according to your listing, tends to be very accurate in fantasy. My questions (listed below)
1. Do you offer PPR projections yet? I could not see any way to find them.
2. Do you give advice on trades and such? Seems a little beneath this site (not in a negative way, just this site looks really really serious, which is both intimidating and cool).
3. I was just looking for a rankings(err, projections based on what I saw about opinion on rankings) for PPR, 12 team, overall, position, etc. Also a cheat sheet to use during my draft that I could draft from and destroy my fantasy mates using the common sites like ESPN, FantasyPros, Yahoo, etc. I really liked how you explained that your site uses a lot of sources, which tends to lead to better accuracy and predictive outputs.
4. Lastly, the site seems really challenging to navigate, is that just me?
1. You can set your custom scoring settings (such as PPR) within the app under “Scoring Settings”
2. We are always looking to add new content so if we could come up with a data-based approach to evaluating trades we would be open to
3. You can just the custom rankings from the projections app (http://apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net/) for you draft
4. If you have any specific feedback on challenges/things we could improve we would appreciate it
In relation to my following comment, I changed the scoring settings on the projections page, and it makes more sense regarding Howard and Gordon. Thank you!
Main issues I have run into initially were trying to find content from 2017 (working now that page is loading completely), site home page loading, but not being able to scroll down for some reason (working now), Post Comment button disappeared when comment box has a lot of content. After changing settings to PPR, somehow Jordan Howard leaped over Melvin Gordon somehow, even though most consensus has them the other way, which is probably due to one of the mechanisms used on the site. Was a little worried after seeing comments to similar situations, but I assume it’s just something I have not taken the time to understand, so that’s fine. Other than that, looks good so far.
Is anyone else having problems loading the apps? All my different devices and OS’s just load a blank screen.
https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#appNotLoading
1. Have you guys found a way to scrape ESPN for their IDP projections yet? They’re still some of the best but you don’t include them in your projections.
2. Can you code in an option to sort by MFL position? This is especially helpful on defense, for DT/DE and CB/S designations that might be different by site.
Any chance you introduce a proprietary “FFA Composite” weighted projection source that is a composite of subscription sources you guys have access to? It seems like including that in the projections tool could add a ton of stability and accuracy (especially in IDP where you had only 2 functional sources this year w/ the loss of PFF via Yahoo and the ESPN scrape not up and functioning yet), without violating any code of ethics for providing subscription stats for free.
Can you please explain why you’re still including both Fantasy Data and FantasyfootballNerd as projections sources when they are the same source? That makes for double counting, yes? Fantasy Data is just the more complete database.
is there any way to get players names when doing a download? i can only see the MFL id
We will have the fix up for this today
Anytime I try to download Raw projections I get an error – dlRawProj – Failed – Server problem. I’m currently using Chrome. Any help or guidance would be appreciated.
Updated, working now!
I’ve been having trouble with including replacement level values for missed games. That check box often disappears from the settings option. And when I do see it and check it, the downloaded data looks the exact same as the data when I don’t check it. Could you guys look into that? And keep up the great work!!
We are aware of this issue and will have a fix up shortly, thanks!
I am having a problem with grid filters – positions. If I click on RB, for example, the RB turns blue, and nothing happens. In the past, all other positions would disappear from the list, and would show only RB. Is this a bug on your end, or am I doing something wrong?
Appears to be working for me. Did you change any other settings to get this result? Please provide the additional detail requested here: https://fantasyfootballanalytics.net/about-the-site/faq#errors
Also, in league settings, it always resets to 10 teams, no matter what I enter. I change it to 12 teams, and after about ten seconds, the list reorders. I click “save custom settings,” Then if I check league settings, it again shows 10 teams.
The download button is not working (even after resetting password / signing in). Any thoughts?
Are you looking at weekly settings? Is this a paid or free account?
I had a draft yesterday, and the app worked very well for the most part.
However, the position filters do not work. Clicking on them only changes the color, and the list doesn’t re-sort to show only the one position that is clicked on.
This made it somewhat difficult to use, but I was very pleased with how things ultimately went.
The projections page begins to load as updated on 9/4/17 but then opens up on 8/31/17 update. I have a free account. Is this why?
The seasonal projections have been updated as of today, the weekly projections were updated 8/31.
Thank you.
Is there a way to select which set of projections you download or view? It looks like the week 1 projections are displayed and when I hit download, it downloads only the raw projections.
When I remove a player from the shiny app, the VOR of the other players doesn’t seem to change. So if David Johnson and LeVeon Bell are ranked 1 and 2 by VOR, if I remove LeVeon, the VOR should probably increase for David Johnson, right? Or am I not thinking about it correctly
Are the season projections still available?
Yes, make sure you have “Season” selected under “Week” in General Settings
Any idea when you might be releasing 2018 projections?