Week 5 WR Uncertainty Projections

Fantasy Football Projections are imperative for winning your fantasy leagues. One overlooked aspect is understanding the standard deviation of a player’s projections. Below is a table with WRs (PPR) Projected Fantasy Points along with their standard deviation from 3 different projection sources (each analyst at CBS). I’m hoping to expand this in the future, but for now it will be these 3 analysts’ data.

The players are sorted from most standard deviation to the least. The players at the top are essentially more unpredictable this upcoming week.

Rank	Player	FPTS	+/- FPTS
77	Aaron Dobson, NE	3.67	6.35
7	Demaryius Thomas, DEN	21.00	4.36
79	Jermaine Kearse, SEA	3.33	4.16
24	Hakeem Nicks, NYG	15.00	4.00
17	Anquan Boldin, SF	17.67	3.79
30	Alshon Jeffery, CHI	12.33	3.79
67	Robert Meachem, NO	5.67	3.79
12	A.J. Green, CIN	19.00	3.61
2	Dez Bryant, DAL	25.67	3.51
60	Brandon Gibson, MIA	7.33	3.51
84	Brandon Stokley, BAL	2.00	3.46
85	Kenny Britt, TEN	2.00	3.46
9	Josh Gordon, CLE	20.67	3.21
49	Golden Tate, SEA	9.67	3.21
68	Jon Baldwin, SF	5.67	3.21
3	Julio Jones, ATL	24.67	3.06
11	Jordy Nelson, GB	19.33	3.06
14	DeSean Jackson, PHI	18.33	3.06
73	Clyde Gates, NYJ	4.67	3.06
15	Torrey Smith, BAL	18.00	3.00
46	Eddie Royal, SD	10.00	3.00
51	Davone Bess, CLE	9.00	3.00
56	Rueben Randle, NYG	8.00	3.00
57	Vincent Brown, SD	8.00	3.00
88	Jarrett Boykin, GB	1.67	2.89
89	A.J. Jenkins, KC	1.67	2.89
4	Brandon Marshall, CHI	24.00	2.65
37	Roddy White, ATL	11.00	2.65
52	Ryan Broyles, DET	9.00	2.65
6	Wes Welker, DEN	21.33	2.52
13	Larry Fitzgerald, ARI	18.67	2.52
61	Riley Cooper, PHI	7.33	2.52
62	Jason Avant, PHI	7.33	2.52
22	Kenbrell Thompkins, NE	15.67	2.31
90	Marquise Goodwin, BUF	1.33	2.31
91	Lance Moore, NO	1.33	2.31
92	Juron Criner, OAK	1.33	2.31
10	Andre Johnson, HOU	19.67	2.08
31	Kendall Wright, TEN	12.33	2.08
35	Michael Floyd, ARI	11.67	2.08
38	Terrance Williams, DAL	10.67	2.08
44	DeAndre Hopkins, HOU	10.33	2.08
74	Cole Beasley, DAL	4.33	2.08
78	Earl Bennett, CHI	3.67	2.08
80	Ace Sanders, JAC	3.33	2.08
83	Greg Little, CLE	2.33	2.08
47	Kris Durham, DET	10.00	2.00
48	Donnie Avery, KC	10.00	2.00
66	Harry Douglas, ATL	7.00	2.00
71	Justin Hunter, TEN	5.00	2.00
86	Jacoby Ford, OAK	2.00	2.00
87	Junior Hemingway, KC	2.00	2.00
21	Denarius Moore, OAK	16.00	1.73
5	Victor Cruz, NYG	22.67	1.53
18	Eric Decker, DEN	17.33	1.53
19	Julian Edelman, NE	17.33	1.53
27	Steve Smith, CAR	13.67	1.53
29	Jeremy Kerley, NYJ	12.67	1.53
32	Marlon Brown, BAL	12.33	1.53
39	Austin Pettis, STL	10.67	1.53
40	Mike Wallace, MIA	10.67	1.53
63	Rod Streater, OAK	7.33	1.53
69	Andre Roberts, ARI	5.67	1.53
26	James Jones, GB	14.33	1.15
33	Tavon Austin, STL	12.33	1.15
41	Chris Givens, STL	10.67	1.15
42	Robert Woods, BUF	10.67	1.15
50	Brandon LaFell, CAR	9.33	1.15
54	Mohamed Sanu, CIN	8.67	1.15
55	Kenny Stills, NO	8.33	1.15
59	Sidney Rice, SEA	7.67	1.15
70	Marvin Jones, CIN	5.33	1.15
93	Brian Quick, STL	1.33	1.15
94	Rishard Matthews, MIA	1.33	1.15
95	Pat Edwards, DET	0.67	1.15
1	Calvin Johnson, DET	27.00	1.00
16	Marques Colston, NO	18.00	1.00
25	Cecil Shorts, JAC	15.00	1.00
28	Brian Hartline, MIA	13.00	1.00
34	Nate Washington, TEN	12.00	1.00
58	Ted Ginn, CAR	8.00	1.00
72	Dexter McCluster, KC	5.00	1.00
81	Kyle Williams, SF	3.00	1.00
82	Travis Benjamin, CLE	3.00	1.00
20	Reggie Wayne, IND	16.33	0.58
23	Justin Blackmon, JAC	15.67	0.58
36	Dwayne Bowe, KC	11.67	0.58
43	T.Y. Hilton, IND	10.67	0.58
45	Steve Johnson, BUF	10.33	0.58
64	Keenan Allen, SD	7.33	0.58
65	Darrius Heyward-Bey, IND	7.33	0.58
75	Dwayne Harris, DAL	4.33	0.58
76	T.J. Graham, BUF	4.33	0.58
8	Randall Cobb, GB	21.00	0.00
53	Doug Baldwin, SEA	9.00	0.00