Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 15

Welcome to week 15. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN, FFToday and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article were collected on 12/16/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs below, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Lamar Miller, Denard Robinson, Giovani Bernard, C.J. Spiller and Joique Bell are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Ronnie Hillman, James Starks, Duke Johnson, Shane Vereen and Jay Ajayi are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Jonathan Stewart, Brandon Bolden, Denard Robinson, T.J. Yeldon and Spencer Ware are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
  
  

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• DeAngelo Williams, Lamar Miller, Giovani Bernard, Matt Jones and C.J. Spiller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Chris Ivory, Duke Johnson, Antonio Andrews, Isaiah Crowell and Jay Ajayi are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Brandon Bolden, Jonathan Stewart, T.J. Yeldon, Spencer Ware and Fozzy Whittaker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Demaryius Thomas, Randall Cobb, Tyler Lockett, Emmanuel Sanders and Ted Ginn are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Julio Jones, Allen Robinson, Brandon Marshall, Randall Cobb and Donte Moncrief are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Danny Amendola, Michael Floyd, Michael Crabtree, Rishard Matthews and Malcom Floyd are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Randall Cobb, Emmanuel Sanders, Michael Floyd, Ted Ginn and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Brandon Marshall, Jarvis Landry, T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief and Rueben Randle are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Danny Amendola, Michael Crabtree, Tyler Lockett, Rishard Matthews and Malcom Floyd are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.