Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 14

Welcome to week 14. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN, FFToday and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article were collected on 12/09/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs below, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Devonta Freeman, Shaun Draughn, Giovani Bernard, C.J. Anderson and James Starks are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Adrian Peterson, Thomas Rawls, T.J. Yeldon, Javorius Allen and Latavius Murray are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Mark Ingram, DeMarco Murray, Spencer Ware, Karlos Williams and Andre Ellington are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
  
  

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Devonta Freeman, Shaun Draughn, DeMarco Murray, Giovani Bernard and C.J. Anderson are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Adrian Peterson, Javorius Allen, T.J. Yeldon, Latavius Murray and Chris Thompson are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Mark Ingram, DeMarco Murray, Spencer Ware, C.J. Anderson and Karlos Williams are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Emmanuel Sanders, Dez Bryant, Travis Benjamin, Anquan Boldin and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones, Eric Decker, T.Y. Hilton and Pierre Garcon are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Sammy Watkins, Martavis Bryant, Danny Amendola, Kamar Aiken and DeVante Parker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Odell Beckham, A.J. Green, Anquan Boldin, Travis Benjamin and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Brandon Marshall, T.Y. Hilton, Eric Decker, Anquan Boldin and Donte Moncrief are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Antonio Brown, Sammy Watkins, Danny Amendola, Martavis Bryant and DeVante Parker are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.