Wide Receiver Renaissance

Quick Hitters:

Marvin Harrison Jr (ARI):

Our PPR Projection: 245 FPTS/WR12

7/9 ADP: KTC 10/WR5 / Underdog 13.6/WR9

• #4 to the Cardinals, highest drafted WR since Ja’Marr Chase at #5 to the Bengals in 2021.
• Finishes his freshman year in the Rose Bowl, exploding for 6/71/3.
• 30% team target share sophomore year (highest Buckeye mark ever), topping it as a junior with 31%.
• 25% targets per route run (TPRR) against zone, a better mark than Wilson/JSN.
• One flaw comes after the catch, did not have a game with >25 yards after catch (YAC) in 2023.

Malik Nabers (NYG):

Our PPR Projection: 215 FPTS/WR30

7/9 ADP: KTC 27/WR9 Underdog 26/WR19

• Highly anticipated WR from LSU goes #6 to the Giants.
• 25% TPRR vs zone, matching Harrison’s impressive mark.
• 42% routes outside while working comfortably from the slot.
• Exploded for a 31.9% team target share as a junior after two years of growth.
• Smaller frame, 6’0 200, but dominated all over the field with Jayden Daniels.
• 7 YAC per reception and his .35 broken tackles per reception was 2nd in the class.
• Brings extreme upside while being cheaper than Harrison in drafts.

Next Up Talents:

Rome Odunze (CHI):

Our PPR Projection: 163 FPTS/WR53

7/9 ADP: KTC 34/WR14 Underdog 65.8/WR38

• Third WR selected in 2024, #9 to the Bears.
• Washington has produced plenty of NFL talent the past few years.
• 3 pass catchers drafted this year alone, outside of Rome and his QB.
• 92/1640/13 dominating this comp senior year, and a career 2.5 yards per route run (YPRR).
• Flawed by a late declare but proved worthy of top 10 capital at the combine.
• COVID had cancelled his freshman season, willing to overlook this flaw.
• Completely revamped offense with new heads at every position.
• Opportunity and talent are present to flourish as #1 pick Caleb Williams’ WR1 of the future.

Brian Thomas Jr (JAX):

Our PPR Projection: 168 FPTS/WR51

7/9 ADP: KTC 69/WR27 Underdog 72/WR43

• Second LSU WR drafted, goes #23 to the Jaguars.
• Freshman breakout, an efficient 25/359/2 and a 111 QBR on targets.
• Posted similar numbers as a sophomore before a massive junior year.
• 68/1177/17, efficient in the redzone and downfield, 148 QBR on targets.
• Jags let Ridley walk, freeing up 136 targets from last year.
• Lawrence dealt with injuries last year, now he is fully healthy and hungry to prove himself worthy of his highest QB average per year extension with a slept-on offense.
• The addition of Gabe Davis will allow BTJ to show he can be more than just a 6’3 downfield, redzone threat and develop his route tree.

Xavier Worthy (KC):

Our PPR Projection: 176 FPTS/WR46

7/9 ADP: KTC 75/WR29 Underdog 63/WR37

• KC traded up to #28 with BUF to add another weapon.
• Set the combine 40 yard dash record on second attempt with a 4.21.
• Landing spot pairs Worthy speed with 2x MVP 3x SB Champion Patrick Mahomes.
• Even with Rice in the lineup, Worthy is still a likely week one starter with value.
• 62/981/12, in 12 games as a freshman and reaching 1,000 yards last year.
• Career at Texas, ran 60% outside routes and 40% in the slot with 2.21 YPRR.
• Tools to do it all, his speed helps him manipulate defenders at all levels.
• Undersized at 5’11 165, Worthy may have bust written all over him, but the Chiefs would not have moved up only believing in his speed.

Keon Coleman (BUF):

Our PPR Projection: 179 FPTS/WR44

7/9 ADP: KTC 86/WR33 Underdog 79/WR47

• First pick of round two to Buffalo, another landing spot with vacated targets.
• Davis and Diggs saw 258 targets last year, just under 50% of the team’s total.
• Big frame at 6’3 215, elite athlete that played basketball as a freshman at MSU.
• Weak freshman year at Michigan State, breaks out for 58/798/7 next year.
• Transferred to FSU, 50/658/11 with more competition his junior year.
• 4 others drafted behind him, excluding MSU teammates such as Jayden Reed.
• 2nd player ever named 1st team all SEC at 3 positions, WR, all-purpose, and specialist.
• Reached 20.36 mph in the gauntlet, higher than Puka Nacua’s 20.06 mph and good for the 2nd fastest mark in 2 years, leaving no room to fade for his 4.61 40.

Ladd McConkey (LAC):

Our PPR Projection: 168 FPTS/WR50

7/9 ADP: KTC 73/WR28 Underdog 70/WR42

• Chargers pass on WR at #5 for Joe Alt and take Ladd at #34.
• Elite athlete breaking out after redshirt year, racking up win after win.
• Big piece at Georgia during his time, 42-2 record, providing efficient WR play.
• 3.26 YPRR (8th in nation), but 8.1% team target share in 9 games his final year.
• Career 119/1687/14, 134 passer rating on targets, and 13/216/4 TDs rushing.
• Entering a revamped franchise, new front office, coaching staff, and roster.
• Losing about 50% of their total targets, only adding Rice, Chark and UDFA WRs.
• Their plan? Run the ball, but what will a Jim Harbaugh/Greg Roman NFL offense look like in 2024?

Sleepers Worth Monitoring:

Ryan Flournoy (DAL):

Flournoy had zero DI offers, beginning his collegiate career as a DII redshirt freshman at Central Missouri in 2018. Dealt with injuries and transferred around a few times before getting an offer from Southeast Missouri State. After finally reaching DI, he quickly made SEMO home. In 22 games played over two seasons, he posted 118/1823/13 to go along with 9/88/2 on the ground. Had himself a strong senior bowl, getting to show what he can do in the slot and outside against the top seniors in the country. Later received an invite to the combine where he improved his draft stock more with his testing numbers. Listed at 6’1 202, his 40 time was 4.44 (15th among WRs), 39.50” vertical (7th), 11′ broad jump (4th), and 19 bench reps (2nd). Cowboys take a shot on Flournoy in the 6th round and he enters a shallow depth chart behind Lamb. He has already been competing this offseason for the WR2/3 job with Cooks and Tolbert. He should see plenty of snaps during the preseason and could work his way into the Cowboys high volume passing attack. Flournoy has started to gain some buzz as a late round best ball flier but will likely start the season on redraft waivers. He is a guy to keep an eye on for 2024 production and beyond if things go his way.

Troy Franklin (DEN):

The path for Franklin has and will remain much different from Flournoy’s. He was a 4-star coming out of high school and highly recruited by many of the top schools in the nation. Ended up choosing to attend Oregon where he played 3 years, catching 160/2483/25. Only had 200 yards as a freshman and 891 as a sophomore but was improving his marks each year. Then posted 81/1383/14 with 3.32 YPRR in 13 games his junior season, showing built chemistry with Bo Nix. The Broncos pair the two back up and create an interesting situation, selecting Franklin in the 4th round and Nix at #12. They do not add much to the receiving core outside of Franklin besides Josh Reynolds and trade away Jerry Jeudy to the Browns. Sutton has not cracked 1,000 yards since 2019, which is the year before Jeudy was even drafted. If Nix/Franklin duo can continue to grow their chemistry, there is opportunity here for a jump to the top of the depth chart and fantasy production in 24′.

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