Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 2
24The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN, FFToday and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article was collected on 09/16/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.
Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rashad Jennings, Doug Martin, Darren Sproles, Benny Cunningham and Tre Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- DeMarco Murray, Doug Martin, Darren Sproles, Denard Robinson and James Starks are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tevin Coleman, Benny Cunningham, Dion Lewis, Tre Mason and David Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Rashad Jennings, Doug Martin, Benny Cunningham, Darren Sproles and Tre Mason are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Jamaal Charles, DeMarco Murray, Alfred Blue, Darren Sproles and Denard Robinson are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Tevin Coleman, Benny Cunningham, Dion Lewis, David Johnson and Tre Mason are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Amari Cooper, Allen Robinson, Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston and Eddie Royal are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- T.Y. Hilton, Jeremy Maclin, Brandon Marshall, Mike Wallace and Eric Decker are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, DeSean Jackson, Charles Johnson, Malcom Floyd, Michael Floyd and Steve Johnson are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
Point-per-Recption League Wide Receiver Roundup
From the graph below notice that:
- Allen Robinson, Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, Charles Johnson and Eddie Royal are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their (pseudo)medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
- Brandin Cooks, Allen Robinson, Vincent Jackson, Kenny Stills and Brandon Coleman are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
- On the other hand, Amari Cooper, Charles Johnson, Michael Floyd, Steve Johnson and Harry Douglas are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
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Just a comment, Andre Ellington is not expected to play in week 2, will this be reflected in the ratings?
Yes, you can see for yourself—the Week 2 data are up in our tools.
for Week 2, I have Tre Mason on my bench and C.J. Anderson starting. I wondered why you show Tre Mason with the largest upside and the largest downside. Anderson is currently questionable but is still one of the top RB. Should I replace CJ with Tre?
Upside and downside are calculated statistically as the 95% confidence interval around analysts’ weekly projections. It means that Tre Mason is a riskier play, which may be good or bad depending on your goals.
Since T.Y. Hilton is injured at likely not to play, his “downside” is 0 points… How can he possibly be a player with the least downside?
This roundup is based on projections, not injury reports. Current projections have not ruled him out.
The WR graphs are swapped between PPR/standard.
Yes they are. Fix coming soon.
Fixed.
Isaac,
Lineup Optimizer appears to be working better. However, when I exclude Ameer Abdullah, it appears to get lost while optimizing the lineups.
Should we have a recalculate button (in case I want to exclude a few players)?
Works for me. Could you give me a list of specific changes you make, and what happens (i.e., what you mean by “it appears to get lost”) so we can try to reproduce?
I select week and draftkings, choose average and deselect NFL.com and ESPN.
I let it load, open all lineups, then click on Ameer Abdullah to exclude him from the lineup.
It then gives me the “Generating optimal lineup” with the spinning disk indefinitely.
Week 2*
Also, using Chrome.
Isaac,
If I let it just load the default settings, i can exclude players just fine. However, if I select Draftkings and week 2, excluding any player gives me the “Generating optimal lineup” with the spinning disk indefinitely. Also, after clicking to exclude a player, the salary at the top right of the table header will eventually turn to 0.
Let me know if more details are needed.
Thanks, we’re looking into it.
Just wanted to add I had a similar issue. Thank you for looking into it.
Optimizer isn’t working at all now. Is it just me?
I have been unsuccessful with the optimizer for Draftkings week 3 since yesterday morning.
We’re working on it, thanks.
We’re working on it, thanks.
Alright, lineup optimizer gives me an optimized lineup. However, I still cannot exclude a player with Draftkings and Week 3 selected.
Thanks,
Shawn Yarnell
Working on it, thanks.
Hey guys,
I keep getting the “optimizing best lineup” but it doesn’t load. Could it be my Internet? Also, are you guys planning on doing the gold mining with QB and TE as well? Love diving into this stuff here. Thanks!
Optimizer works for me so must be something funky with your internet or maybe browser?
Great stuff overall here. I agree with Nick, QB and TE would be helpful too.