Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 12

Welcome to week 12. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, FantasySharks, ESPN and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article were collected on 11/24/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs below, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Jeremy Langford, C.J. Spiller, Shaun Draughn, Marshawn Lynch and David Cobb are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Mark Ingram, Doug Martin, Jonathan Stewart, LeGarrette Blount and Joique Bell are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Thomas Rawls, Carlos Hyde, Shaun Draughn, Marshawn Lynch and Roy Helu are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.
  
  

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Thomas Rawls, Jeremy Langford, Shaun Draughn, Marshawn Lynch and David Cobb are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Lamar Miller, Javorius Allen, Doug Martin, Jonathan Stewart and Joique Bell are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, Devonta Freeman, Thomas Rawls, Carlos Hyde, Marshawn Lynch and Roy Helu are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Odell Beckham, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Doug Baldwin and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
• Brandon Marshall, Amari Cooper, Anquan Boldin, Donte Moncrief and Rishard Matthews are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
• On the other hand, DeAndre Hopkins, Alshon Jeffery, Steve Johnson, Danny Amendola and Michael Floyd are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

• Odell Beckham, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Marques Colston and Eddie Royal are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Brandon Marshall, Amari Cooper, Jeremy Maclin, Donte Moncrief and Doug Baldwin are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, DeAndre Hopkins, Alshon Jeffery, Steve Johnson, James Jones and Davante Adams are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.