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Fantasy Football Analytics

Week 7 WR Uncertainty Projections

0
  • by Chad Wittman
  • in Projections · Risk
  • — 16 Oct, 2013

This week Jarrett Boykin takes home the crown for most uncertain projection. Boykin is stepping in to fill a decimated WR corps in Green Bay.

On the other side of the spectrum, Jordy Nelson is locked in for a good game around 19 points.

Name FPTS +/- FPTS
Jarrett Boykin 9.30 6.50
Golden Tate 12.40 5.30
Andre Roberts 5.90 5.20
Aaron Dobson 10.40 4.50
Julian Edelman 14.90 4.50
Keenan Allen 15.60 4.40
Torrey Smith 16.70 4.30
Kendall Wright 13.10 4.10
Chris Givens 9.10 3.90
Josh Gordon 17.90 3.80
Donnie Avery 7.40 3.70
Austin Pettis 11.30 3.60
Calvin Johnson 17.00 3.60
Dez Bryant 24.70 3.60
Kris Durham 10.10 3.30
Terrance Williams 14.30 3.30
Alshon Jeffery 12.90 3.10
Eddie Royal 5.90 3.10
Greg Jennings 13.00 3.10
T.Y. Hilton 16.90 3.10
Victor Cruz 21.90 3.10
Doug Baldwin 9.60 3.00
Hakeem Nicks 16.10 3.00
Reggie Wayne 20.90 3.00
Vincent Jackson 20.00 3.00
Brandon Marshall 21.90 2.90
Jerome Simpson 11.10 2.90
Mike Williams 11.70 2.90
Tavon Austin 6.10 2.90
Robert Woods 9.70 2.80
Andre Johnson 15.30 2.70
Brandon LaFell 9.60 2.60
Harry Douglas 15.30 2.60
Rueben Randle 13.40 2.60
Antonio Brown 18.10 2.50
Wes Welker 19.40 2.50
Miles Austin 7.70 2.40
Nate Washington 8.90 2.40
Demaryius Thomas 19.10 2.20
Justin Blackmon 22.40 2.20
Kenbrell Thompkins 11.90 2.20
Steve Smith 15.40 2.20
Sidney Rice 7.30 2.10
Vincent Brown 12.40 2.10
Anquan Boldin 11.70 2.00
DeSean Jackson 21.00 2.00
A.J. Green 20.60 1.90
Larry Fitzgerald 12.90 1.90
Marlon Brown 8.30 1.90
Pierre Garcon 19.30 1.90
Emmanuel Sanders 10.90 1.80
Leonard Hankerson 8.00 1.80
Brian Hartline 12.70 1.70
Jeremy Kerley 10.10 1.70
Jordy Nelson 19.10 1.70
Mike Wallace 17.10 1.70
Stephen Hill 9.40 1.70
Dwayne Bowe 8.70 1.60
Greg Little 6.10 1.60
Riley Cooper 8.00 1.60
Santana Moss 7.10 1.60
Jason Avant 7.10 1.50
Davone Bess 7.60 1.30
DeAndre Hopkins 8.00 1.30
Marvin Jones 7.00 1.30
Michael Floyd 9.90 1.30
Brandon Gibson 8.10 1.10
Jerricho Cotchery 7.60 1.00

 

Reddit user cvbdude contributed this breakdown:

  1. Dez Bryant (21.1-28.3)
  2. Justin Blackmon (20.2-24.6)
  3. Brandon Marshall (19-24.8)
  4. Desean Jackson (19-23)
  5. Victor Cruz (18.8-25)
  6. A.J. Green (18.7-22.5)
  7. Reggie Wayne (17.9-23.9)
  8. Pierre Garcon (17.4-21.2)
  9. Jordy Nelson (17.4-20.8)
  10. Vincent Jackson (17-23)
  11. Wes Welker (16.9-21.9)
  12. Demaryius Thomas (16.9-21.3)
  13. Antonio Brown (15.6-20.6)
  14. Mike Wallace (15.4-18.8)
  15. Josh Gordon (14.1-21.7)
  16. T.Y. Hilton (13.8-20)
  17. Calvin Johnson (13.4-20.6)
  18. Steve Smith (13.2-17.6)
  19. Hakeem Nicks (13.1-19.1)
  20. Harry Douglas (12.7-17.9)

Sources: CBS Sports (3 Analysts), ESPN, FFToday, Bloomberg Sports, FantasySharks.

Week 7 WR Uncertainty Projections

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— Chad Wittman

Chad has played fantasy football for 10 years. Finding himself knee deep in statistics at his job, he has been compelled to apply statistical learning to one of his favorite pastimes. Chad is a Redskins fan living in a Seahawks city.

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