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Fantasy Football Analytics

Week 8 RB Uncertainty Projections

0
  • by Chad Wittman
  • in Projections · Risk
  • — 24 Oct, 2013

Each week, I take 7 different fantasy football projections (PPR) for RBs and take a look at the uncertainty in their projections.

The data below conveys the degree to which experts disagree about RB’s value (PPR) for Week 8. This week, I provide two tables. The first looks at who the experts disagree about the most. The second provides more detailed information and organizes the chart by “Min” projection.

Name FPTS +/- FPTS
Jacquizz Rodgers 11.9 4.5
Le’Veon Bell 16 4.5
Zac Stacy 10 4.5
Eddie Lacy 20 4.4
Peyton Hillis 11.6 4.2
Knowshon Moreno 19.9 4.1
Jamaal Charles 25.6 3.9
Joseph Randle 12.3 3.9
Pierre Thomas 12.1 3.7
Darren Sproles 17.6 3.6
Roy Helu 10.3 3.4
Mike Tolbert 7.7 3.3
Giovani Bernard 13.1 3.1
Stevan Ridley 14.3 3.1
Kendall Hunter 6.3 2.9
LeSean McCoy 22.3 2.9
Chris Ogbonnaya 8.1 2.8
Daniel Thomas 6.9 2.8
Marshawn Lynch 19.7 2.8
Chris Ivory 9 2.6
Lamar Miller 9.4 2.6
Reggie Bush 19 2.6
Frank Gore 18.3 2.5
Fred Jackson 16.1 2.5
Adrian Peterson 19 2.4
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 4.9 2.4
C.J. Spiller 7.7 2.4
DeAngelo Williams 10 2.4
Jason Snelling 4.6 2.4
Rashard Mendenhall 6.1 2.2
Alfred Morris 13.1 2.1
Bilal Powell 6.1 2
Mike James 9.9 2
Rashad Jennings 2.4 1.8
Willis McGahee 4.7 1.8
Darren McFadden 11.3 1.6
Brandon Bolden 7.6 1.5
Daryl Richardson 3.4 1.5
Joique Bell 8.1 1.5
Ronnie Hillman 5.3 1.5
Maurice Jones-Drew 9.3 1.3
Andre Ellington 10 1.2
Justin Forsett 2.7 1.1

 

Name Ceiling Avg Floor Min Max
Jamaal Charles 29.5 25.6 21.7 22 30
LeSean McCoy 25.2 22.3 19.4 19 26
Marshawn Lynch 22.5 19.7 16.9 18 26
Adrian Peterson 21.4 19 16.6 17 23
Reggie Bush 21.6 19 16.4 16 24
Frank Gore 20.8 18.3 15.8 15 22
Knowshon Moreno 24 19.9 15.8 16 27
Eddie Lacy 24.4 20 15.6 16 29
Darren Sproles 21.2 17.6 14 13 23
Fred Jackson 18.6 16.1 13.6 13 20
Le’Veon Bell 20.5 16 11.5 8 22
Stevan Ridley 17.4 14.3 11.2 10 20
Alfred Morris 15.2 13.1 11 11 16
Giovani Bernard 16.2 13.1 10 8 18
Darren McFadden 12.9 11.3 9.7 9 14
Andre Ellington 11.2 10 8.8 8 11
Joseph Randle 16.2 12.3 8.4 5 17
Pierre Thomas 15.8 12.1 8.4 8 19
Maurice Jones-Drew 10.6 9.3 8 7 11
Mike James 11.9 9.9 7.9 7 12
DeAngelo Williams 12.4 10 7.6 6 14
Jacquizz Rodgers 16.4 11.9 7.4 5 20
Peyton Hillis 15.8 11.6 7.4 5 18
Roy Helu 13.7 10.3 6.9 6 15
Lamar Miller 12 9.4 6.8 6 13
Joique Bell 9.6 8.1 6.6 7 11
Chris Ivory 11.6 9 6.4 5 13
Brandon Bolden 9.1 7.6 6.1 6 10
Zac Stacy 14.5 10 5.5 4 18
C.J. Spiller 10.1 7.7 5.3 6 11
Chris Ogbonnaya 10.9 8.1 5.3 4 12
Mike Tolbert 11 7.7 4.4 3 12
Daniel Thomas 9.7 6.9 4.1 3 11
Bilal Powell 8.1 6.1 4.1 3 9
Rashard Mendenhall 8.3 6.1 3.9 3 9
Ronnie Hillman 6.8 5.3 3.8 2 6
Kendall Hunter 9.2 6.3 3.4 2 9
Willis McGahee 6.5 4.7 2.9 3 8
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 7.3 4.9 2.5 2 9
Jason Snelling 7 4.6 2.2 1 8
Daryl Richardson 4.9 3.4 1.9 1 6
Justin Forsett 3.8 2.7 1.6 1 4
Rashad Jennings 4.2 2.4 0.6 0 5

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Tags: RBs

— Chad Wittman

Chad has played fantasy football for 10 years. Finding himself knee deep in statistics at his job, he has been compelled to apply statistical learning to one of his favorite pastimes. Chad is a Redskins fan living in a Seahawks city.

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