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Fantasy Football Analytics

Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 11

0
  • by Michael Griebe
  • in Gold Mining · Projections · Weekly
  • — 15 Nov, 2014

Wide Receiver Gold Mining

The graph below summarizes the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: Fantasy Football Sharks, CBS’s Jamey Eisenberg, CBS’s Dave Richard, Fantasy Football Today, ESPN, Picking Pros, Yahoo Sports and Fox Sports.

Standard Scoring Leagues

Week 11 Wide Receivers

From this graph be sure to notice:

  • Alshon Jeffery, Golden Tate, Pierre Garcon, Eddie Royal and Wes Welker are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their pseudo-medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Pierre Garcon, Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, Doug Baldwin and Rueben Randle are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Emmanuel Sanders, T.Y. Hilton, Alshon Jeffery, Golden Tate and Brandon Marshall are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-2

PPR Leagues

Week 11 Wide Receivers

From this graph be sure to notice:

  • Golden Tate, Alshon Jeffery, Odell Beckham, Pierre Garcon and Wes Welker are the five players with the largest upside (as measured from their pseudo-medians). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.
  • Mike Wallace, Pierre Garcon, Reggie Wayne, Michael Crabtree and Doug Baldwin are the players with the smallest downside, which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if your are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.
  • On the other hand, Emmanuel Sanders, T.Y. Hilton, A.J. Green, Golden Tate and Brandon Marshall are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.


plot of chunk unnamed-chunk-4

For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs above, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

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— Michael Griebe

I'm an Economist, R Coder, Entrepreneur, Web-Dabbler, and Fantasy Football Enthusiast.

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