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Fantasy Football Analytics

Week 7 RB Uncertainty Projections

0
  • by Chad Wittman
  • in Projections · Risk
  • — 18 Oct, 2013

The data below conveys the degree to which experts disagree about RB’s value (PPR) for Week 7. This week, I decided to give a few more metrics, along with sorting the default table by floor. To see how much experts disagree, keep an eye on the St Dev column.

Name Avg St Dev Floor ↓ Ceiling Max Min
LeSean McCoy 24.7 4.0 20.7 28.7 33 21
Jamaal Charles 22.0 2.1 19.9 24.1 25 18
Adrian Peterson 25.3 5.4 19.8 30.7 31 19
Matt Forte 20.7 2.4 18.3 23.1 25 18
Arian Foster 18.4 1.4 17.0 19.8 20 16
Reggie Bush 19.3 2.4 16.9 21.7 24 17
Knowshon Moreno 17.7 2.1 15.6 19.9 21 15
Marshawn Lynch 17.0 2.4 14.6 19.4 19 12
Frank Gore 16.3 1.9 14.4 18.2 20 14
Eddie Lacy 16.3 2.7 13.6 19.0 21 14
Ray Rice 17.0 3.5 13.5 20.5 23 12
Doug Martin 16.3 3.1 13.2 19.4 19 11
Alfred Morris 14.9 1.7 13.2 16.5 17 13
Danny Woodhead 14.7 2.7 12.0 17.4 19 10
DeAngelo Williams 14.3 2.5 11.8 16.8 19 12
Brandon Jacobs 12.6 1.1 11.4 13.7 15 12
Fred Jackson 14.4 3.3 11.2 17.7 20 12
Joseph Randle 13.3 2.8 10.5 16.1 19 10
Bilal Powell 13.6 3.3 10.3 16.9 18 10
Jacquizz Rodgers 12.1 2.4 9.7 14.6 16 9
Lamar Miller 11.3 2.1 9.2 13.3 14 8
Ryan Mathews 11.3 2.5 8.8 13.8 15 7
Maurice Jones-Drew 10.9 2.3 8.6 13.1 14 7
Andre Ellington 10.3 1.7 8.6 12.0 12 8
Stevan Ridley 10.3 2.0 8.3 12.3 13 7
Trent Richardson 10.3 2.1 8.2 12.3 13 8
Chris Ogbonnaya 9.6 1.8 7.8 11.4 12 7
C.J. Spiller 10.1 2.8 7.3 12.9 15 7
Jason Snelling 8.3 1.4 6.9 9.7 10 6
Zac Stacy 9.3 2.4 6.9 11.7 11 4
Chris Johnson 9.4 2.8 6.7 12.2 13 5
Brandon Bolden 7.1 1.8 5.4 8.9 9 4
Roy Helu 7.4 2.1 5.3 9.6 10 5
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 7.7 2.7 5.0 10.4 11 4
Donald Brown 6.6 2.4 4.1 9.0 11 4
Willis McGahee 6.4 2.3 4.1 8.7 9 2
Mike Tolbert 8.4 4.5 3.9 13.0 17 3
Rashard Mendenhall 5.1 1.3 3.8 6.5 7 3
Ronnie Hillman 5.9 3.2 2.6 9.1 12 1
Bernard Pierce 4.0 1.4 2.6 5.4 6 2
Chris Ivory 4.7 2.1 2.6 6.9 8 2
Kendall Hunter 4.1 1.9 2.3 6.0 7 1
Daryl Richardson 4.4 2.8 1.7 7.2 10 1
LeGarrette Blount 2.3 0.8 1.5 3.0 3 1
Jackie Battle 3.3 3.2 0.1 6.5 10 0
Montee Ball 1.6 1.6 0.0 3.2 5 0

Week 7 RB Uncertainty

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Tags: uncertainty

— Chad Wittman

Chad has played fantasy football for 10 years. Finding himself knee deep in statistics at his job, he has been compelled to apply statistical learning to one of his favorite pastimes. Chad is a Redskins fan living in a Seahawks city.

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